Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, May 12, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) Miami (-130)

loanDepot park is where the Miami Marlins (19-19) will try to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (15-21) on Friday. The line on this matchup has the Reds at +110 and the Marlins are at -130. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Graham Ashcraft and Sandy Alcantara.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 23rd in the league. They have a total of 152 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319. The Reds have earned 53 two-baggers as a team and have hit 27 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 145 runs batted in and 289 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .243. Cincinnati is slugging .367 and have been called out on strikes 326 times, while drawing a walk on 118 occasions.

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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 5.13 for the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 322 hitters. Reds pitchers have conceded 44 home runs in addition to 188 runs in total (24th in MLB). They have walked 131 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.53 as a squad over the course of the season. Cincinnati has given up 345 base hits (9.9 per 9 innings) as well as 179 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.46 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.52.

Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 50 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 17 holds this year (20th in the league). The Reds bullpen have a save rate of 60.0% and has come into the game in 34 save situations. They have compiled 9 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of 15 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 runners this season and 29.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Reds have dispatched 130 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 943 putouts this year, as well as 282 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which puts them in 16th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 30 double plays. The Reds have transformed 65.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,829 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 30th in pro baseball.

Ashcraft (7-7 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.13 and he has faced 625 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 151 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 48 free passes. His ERA is 4.61 (73 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.395. Ashcraft has thrown 142 innings and has earned 101 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

Miami has 33 HRs so far this year as well as 123 runs batted in. They have 58 two-baggers, while walking 90 times and putting up 129 runs. The Miami Marlins have compiled an OBP of .300 as well as a batting average of .246 over the course of the season. The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .376 and they are scoring 3.39 runs per game (30th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 326 instances (15th in MLB) and have accounted for 312 hits.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 4.45 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.10 (345 strikeouts vs 132 free passes). They are sitting at 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 335. They have allowed 48 long balls and they relinquish 4.84 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 183 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.53 (171 earned runs allowed).

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.2% out of their 63 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 47 times in high leverage situations and on 41 occasions with base runners. With 32 save situations, the Marlins have 17 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They rank 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 131 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 15 save chances and they have tallied 10 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 33 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Marlins have racked up 331 assists, 24 errors and have a tally of 1,020 putouts for the year. Out of their 3,060 innings on the field, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 67.5% (25th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Alcantara has surrendered 634 base hits while he has accumulated 678 strikeouts in 759 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 269 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.147 and a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and he has gone up against 3,100 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Alcantara (35-46 career record) holds a 3.19 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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