Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 7/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Friday, July 28, 2023

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: Spectrum SportsNet LA

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+180) Los Angeles (-210)

Dodger Stadium is where the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-43) will meet the Cincinnati Reds (56-48) on Friday. The line on this matchup has Cincinnati at +180 and Los Angeles is priced at -210. The over/under has been set at 10. The men taking the mound will be Brandon Williamson and Bobby Miller.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.8 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball. They are sitting with 503 runs scored while having a team OBP of .331. The Reds have compiled 177 doubles as a squad and have knocked 115 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 485 runs batted in in addition to 885 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .252. Cincinnati is slugging .412 and have been called out on strikes 935 times, while being walked on 367 occasions.

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The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.69 for the season (26th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 878 hitters. Reds pitchers have given up 138 home runs and 509 runs in total (24th in the league). They have walked 391 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.76 as a squad so far this season. Cincinnati has conceded 930 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 483 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.42.

The Reds have dispatched 384 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 200 base runners this year with 27.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 39 saves on the campaign and have blown 16 out of their 55 chances to save the game. The Reds relievers have a save rate of 70.9% and has entered the game in 118 save situations. The relievers have accumulated 61 holds so far this season (8th in baseball). Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 142 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,346 innings, which has them sitting at 19th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 2,782 putouts for the season, as well as 848 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them sitting 7th in baseball, and they have twisted 82 double plays.

Williamson (2-2 career record) sits with a FIP of 5.16 while going up against 245 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 51 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 23 walks. His ERA is 4.60 (30 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.261. Williamson has taken the hill for 58 innings and has 46 K's during his pro baseball career.

Los Angeles has accounted for 166 home runs so far this year to go along with 550 runs batted in. They have put up 184 doubles, while getting a free base 429 times and putting up 570 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .335 in addition to a team batting average of .247 this season. The Dodgers hold a team SLG% of .454 and they score 5.64 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 892 instances (15th in the league) and have earned 852 hits.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.273 with a FIP of 4.18 as a squad this year. They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 838. The Los Angeles pitching staff have conceded 473 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.47 (447 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.60 (859 strikeouts vs 307 free passes). They have surrendered 112 homers and they concede 4.73 runs per 9 innings (19th in baseball).

Los Angeles relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 142 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 109 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Dodgers have amassed 59 holds and also 11 blown saves. They rank 7th in MLB with a save rate of 68.6%, and they have sent 363 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Los Angeles has had relievers enter the contest in 35 save chances and they have tallied 24 saves.

Out of their 8,097 innings on the field, the Dodgers hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in the majors). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 87 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in MLB). The Dodgers have accrued 878 assists, 48 errors and have accounted for 2,699 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, Miller has surrendered 49 hits while he has tallied 53 punch outs in 54 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 26 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.189 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 and he has faced 228 opposing batters in his MLB career. Miller (6-1 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.28 earned run average while conceding 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-210)

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