Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+120) Houston (-140)

The Cincinnati Reds (34-35) are on their way to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they will take on the Houston Astros (39-30). The moneyline on this game has the Reds at +120 while the Astros are coming in at -140. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Hunter Greene and Brandon Bielak.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in MLB. They have earned 323 runs and hold an OBP of .331. The Reds have accrued 129 doubles as a team and have hit 57 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 311 runs batted in as well as 592 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is at .254. Cincinnati is slugging .395 and have struck out 615 times, while taking a walk on 245 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.44. Reds pitchers have given up 87 long balls in addition to 352 runs in total (27th in MLB). Cincinnati has given up 632 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 337 earned runs. The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.96 on the campaign (27th in the league), and they have rung up 600 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 251 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.57 as a team over the course of the season.

The Reds have sent 242 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 138 base runners on the season and 27.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 22 saves for the year and have blown 8 out of their 30 chances to save the game. The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 73.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 65 save situations. The relievers have notched 33 holds for the year (21st in the league). Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on 95 times and also have had 94 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have converted 67.2% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,502 innings on the field, which ranks them 29th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 1,834 putouts on the year, as well as 553 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 12th in professional baseball, and have earned 51 double plays.

Greene has thrown 193 frames and has tallied 261 K's so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 4.29 (92 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.254. He has allowed 167 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 75 walks. Greene (6-17 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.00 while he has gone up against 823 batters during his time in the majors.

Houston has accounted for 78 home runs on the season and 296 runs batted in. They have 115 two-baggers, while walking 212 times as well as recording 310 runs. The Houston Astros have tallied an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .246 this year. The Astros have a SLG% of .399 and they are recording 4.49 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 565 occasions (22nd in the league) and have tallied 571 hits.

The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.237 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.40 (643 strikeouts vs 208 walks). They rank 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 555. They have allowed 70 long balls and they relinquish 3.68 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Houston pitching staff have yielded 252 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.24 (222 earned runs relinquished).

Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 27.6% out of 58 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 58 times in high leverage situations and on 36 occasions with runners on. With 62 save situations, the Astros have earned 35 holds and 9 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league holding a save rate of 65.4%, and they have sent 211 relievers to the mound on the year. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 26 save opportunities and they have come away with 17 saves.

In 5,553 innings played, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 69.0% (16th in baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (7th in MLB). The Astros have 588 assists, 29 errors and have accounted for 1,851 putouts on the campaign.

During his pro baseball career, Bielak has conceded 151 hits while tallying 118 punch outs in 137 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 73 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.518 and having a FIP of 5.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.07 and he has faced 606 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Bielak (9-10 career record) holds a 4.80 ERA while giving up 9.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-140)

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