Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 9/12/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Tuesday, September 12, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-118) Detroit (-102)

The Detroit Tigers (66-77) host the Cincinnati Reds (74-71) at Comerica Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds at -118 and the Tigers are opening at -102. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Ben Lively and Alex Faedo.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .415 and have been called out on strikes 1,341 times, while drawing a walk on 490 occasions. They have recorded 655 runs batted in and 1,220 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .249. The Reds have accrued 244 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 169 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 686 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .326. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 11th in MLB.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.73 on the year (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,234 hitters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 201 home runs in addition to 723 runs in total (23rd in MLB). They have walked 544 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.80 as a team over the course of the season. Cincinnati has allowed 1,271 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 678 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 68.1% and has entered the game in 152 save situations. The relievers have inherited 280 runners on the campaign and 29.3% of them crossed home plate. Reds relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 196 times in addition to having 210 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 533 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have notched 79 holds over the course of the season (11th in MLB). They have 47 saves on the year and have blown 22 out of their 69 chances to save the game.

The Cincinnati Reds have earned a total of 3,871 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,162 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 21st in the majors, and have accumulated 112 double plays. The Reds have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,613 innings, which has them sitting at 18th in MLB.

Lively has thrown 196 innings and has racked up 149 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 4.94 (108 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.398. He has allowed 217 hits (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 58 walks. Lively (8-17 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.16 while facing 852 hitters during his time in the majors.

Detroit has hit 143 home runs so far this year to go along with 542 runs batted in. They have recorded 211 doubles, while walking 434 times and putting up 564 runs. The Detroit Tigers have a team on-base percentage of .302 in addition to a team batting average of .235 so far this season. The Tigers hold a slugging % of .377 and they are recording 3.94 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,301 instances (8th in MLB) and have tallied 1,134 base hits.

The Tigers have a team WHIP of 1.266 in addition to having a FIP of 4.18 as a staff on the year. They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,189. The Detroit pitching staff have allowed 676 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.41 (624 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,194 strikeouts vs 421 free passes). They have conceded 166 long balls and they relinquish 4.78 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB).

Detroit relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.1% out of 215 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 147 times in high leverage situations and on 149 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 147 save situations, the Tigers have 87 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They are currently ranked 11th in the league with a save percentage of 65.5%, and they have sent 473 relievers to the mound this year. Detroit has had relief pitchers enter the game in 55 save opportunities and they have recorded 36 saves.

In their 11,454 innings on the diamond, the Tigers hold a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in pro baseball). The Detroit Tigers have gotten 114 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in MLB). The Tigers have racked up 1,244 assists, 91 errors and have a total of 3,818 putouts so far this season.

Faedo (3-10 career mark) has earned a 5.07 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.25 and he has faced 496 batters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 65 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.8. During his career, Faedo has conceded 110 base knocks while he has tallied 99 punch outs in 115 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Detroit (-102) and under 8.5 runs

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