Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+114) Cleveland (-135)

The Cleveland Guardians (74-83) are welcoming the Cincinnati Reds (80-77) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +114 and Cleveland is coming in at -135. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Andrew Abbott and Shane Bieber.

The Reds have tallied 255 doubles as a unit and have hit 184 baseballs out of the stadium. Cincinnati is slugging .412 and have been called out on strikes 1,449 times, while drawing a walk on 541 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are knocking in 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 10th in MLB. They have earned 707 RBI's and 1,313 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .247. They have tallied 741 runs scored and have an OBP of .326.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.78 on the year (25th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,351 hitters. Reds pitchers have surrendered 217 home runs in addition to 789 runs in total (23rd in MLB). They have walked 595 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.79 as a team on the year. Cincinnati has conceded 1,379 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 742 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.41.

Reds pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 216 times in addition to having 238 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 88 holds on the campaign (9th in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 172 save situations. They have 52 saves this year and have missed out on 26 out of their 78 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 314 runners on the season with 29.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Reds have sent 585 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Reds have turned 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,576 innings, which has them sitting 19th in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 4,192 putouts this season, as well as 1,238 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .984 which has them ranked 22nd in MLB, and they have twisted 120 double plays.

Abbott has thrown 107 innings and has tallied 119 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 3.70 (44 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.271. He has surrendered 92 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 44 free passes. Abbott (8-5 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.24 while going up against 447 hitters in the major leagues.

The Guardians hold a team slugging percentage of .380 and they score 4.09 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have put up 286 doubles, while getting a free base 456 times and putting up 642 runs. Cleveland has tallied 118 home runs so far this year to go along with 603 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,104 instances (30th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,333 base knocks. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled a team on-base percentage of .313 and a batting average of .249 over the course of the season.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.295 and have a FIP of 4.17 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.20 (1,274 strikeouts vs 511 free passes). They are sitting at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,303. They have yielded 165 dingers and they concede 4.27 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 665 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.92 (610 earned runs surrendered).

Cleveland has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 78 save chances and they have recorded 45 saves. They rank 22nd in MLB with a save rate of 57.7%, and they have dispatched 527 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 187 times in high leverage situations and on 133 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.0% out of 187 inherited base runners. Sitting with 181 save situations, the Guardians have 98 holds and also 33 blown saves.

In 12,609 innings played, the Guardians have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.9% (8th in professional baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). The Guardians have accrued 1,381 assists, 79 errors and have 4,203 putouts on the season.

In his career, Bieber has allowed 737 base knocks and he has 931 K's in 825 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 301 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.120 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.98 and he has gone up against 3,348 batters so far in his MLB career. Bieber (59-32 career mark) has a 3.28 earned run average and has allowed 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-135)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here