Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/26/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) Cleveland (-118)

The Cincinnati Reds (80-77) are hitting the road to Progressive Field on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Cleveland Guardians (74-83). The moneyline on this contest has Cincinnati at +100 and Cleveland is sitting at -118. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Hunter Greene and Lucas Giolito.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 11th in MLB. They have accounted for 741 runs scored while having a team OBP of .326. The Reds have earned 255 doubles as a team and have knocked 184 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 707 RBI's and 1,313 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is .247. Cincinnati is slugging .412 and have struck out 1,449 times, while taking a walk on 541 occasions.

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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.78 on the season (25th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,351 hitters. Reds pitchers have given up 217 home runs and 789 total runs (23rd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 595 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.79 as a team so far this year. Cincinnati has relinquished 1,379 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 742 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.27 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.41.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 216 times and also have had 238 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 88 holds so far this year (9th in baseball). The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 172 save situations. They have earned 52 saves on the season and have blown 26 out of their 78 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 314 runners on the season with 29.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have dispatched 585 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Reds have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,576 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 19th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 4,192 putouts for the season, as well as 1,238 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 22nd in baseball, and have a total of 120 double plays.

Greene (9-19 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.21 and he has gone up against 985 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 198 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 94 free passes. His earned run average is 4.35 (111 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.271. Greene has taken the ball for 229 frames and has accounted for 307 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Cleveland Guardians have compiled a team OBP of .313 in addition to a batting average of .249 so far this season. They have been rung up on 1,104 occasions (30th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,333 base hits. Cleveland has tallied 118 home runs for the season as well as 603 RBIs. The Guardians hold a team slugging % of .380 and they average 4.09 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have hit 286 doubles, while getting a free base 456 times as well as putting up 642 runs.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.295 and have a FIP of 4.17 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.20 (1,274 strikeouts vs 511 walks). They come in at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,303. They have conceded 165 long balls and they allow 4.27 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 665 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.92 (610 earned runs allowed).

Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 78 save opportunities and they have walked away with 45 saves. They rank 22nd in the league holding a save rate of 57.7%, and they have dispatched 527 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 187 times in high leverage situations in addition to 133 occasions with runners on. Cleveland bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 23.0% of 187 inherited runners. With 181 save situations, the Guardians have accumulated 98 holds in addition to 33 blown saves.

In 12,609 innings on the diamond, the Guardians have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (8th in MLB). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 1,381 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 4,203 putouts on the season.

So far in his MLB career, Giolito has given up 875 hits and he has 1,068 strikeouts in 1,005 innings. Giolito (61-61 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.38 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 489 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.244 and having a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.84 and he has faced 4,215 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+100)

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