Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 8/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, August 1, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) Chicago (-130)

The Cincinnati Reds (58-49) are hitting the road to Wrigley Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Chicago Cubs (53-52). The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds at +110 while the Cubs are at -130. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers are Ben Lively and Justin Steele.

Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .414 and have struck out 967 times, while being walked on 374 occasions. They have amassed 502 RBI's as well as 914 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is at .253. The Reds have compiled 186 doubles as a squad and have hit 120 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 520 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.9 runs per contest, which has them at 10th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.24 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.42. Reds pitchers have surrendered 140 home runs and also 517 runs in total (23rd in MLB). Cincinnati has conceded 950 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 489 earned runs. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.62 over the course of the season (25th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 893 batters. They have walked 399 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.74 as a team for the year.

The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 122 save situations. The relievers have inherited 207 runners this year with 27.5% of them earned a run for their team. Reds relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 146 times as well as having 166 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 392 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 64 holds so far this year (7th in the league). They have compiled 40 saves for the year and have not converted 16 out of their 56 chances to get a save.

The Reds have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,580 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 19th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 2,860 putouts this year, as well as 876 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which has them ranked 8th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 88 double plays.

Lively (8-16 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.95 while he has gone up against 803 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 198 base knocks (9.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 56 free passes. His earned run average is 4.43 (92 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.358. Lively has taken the ball for 187 innings and has earned 142 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Chicago Cubs have recorded an on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .254 on the season. They have struck out on 947 occasions (10th in baseball) and have earned a total of 905 hits. Chicago has 119 HRs on the year to go along with 497 runs batted in. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .409 and they earn 4.90 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They have 161 two-baggers, while taking a walk 378 times as well as putting up 514 runs.

The Cubs have a WHIP of 1.268 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a staff on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (859 strikeouts vs 327 free passes). They come in at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 851. They have yielded 111 home runs and they yield 4.43 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 457 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.06 (419 earned runs conceded).

Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 27 save chances and they have walked away with 18 saves. They sit at 10th in MLB holding a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 320 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.3% out of their 138 inherited runners. Sitting with 77 save situations, the Cubs have accrued 49 holds and also 9 blown saves.

Out of their 8,361 innings played, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (8th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 94 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in pro baseball). The Cubs have accrued 972 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 2,787 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Steele has given up 260 hits while accumulating 285 strikeouts in 285 innings. He has given up a total of 104 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.264 and a FIP of 3.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and he has gone up against 1,208 hitters during his MLB career. Steele (19-14 career win-loss record) has a 3.28 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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