Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/31/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, July 31, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Wrigley Field is the site where the Chicago Cubs (51-51) will try to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (56-48) on Monday. The expected starting pitchers are Andrew Abbott and Marcus Stroman.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.8 runs per outing, which is 10th in MLB. They have 503 runs and have an on-base percentage of .331. The Reds have hit 177 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 115 baseballs out of the park. They have 485 runs batted in and 885 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .252. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .412 and have struck out 935 times, while drawing a walk on 367 occasions.

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The Reds have compiled a team earned run average of 4.69 so far this season (26th in baseball), and they have struck out 878 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 138 home runs in addition to 509 total runs (24th in the league). They have walked 391 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.76 as a team over the course of the season. Cincinnati has surrendered 930 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 483 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.25 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.42.

Reds relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 142 times and also have had 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 61 holds on the year (8th in MLB). The Reds relief pitchers have a save percentage of 70.9% and has entered the game in 118 save situations. They have recorded 39 saves so far this season and have not converted 16 of their 55 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 200 base runners on the season and 27.0% of those runners crossed the plate. The Reds have dispatched 384 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Reds have converted 68.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,346 innings on the field, ranking them 20th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 2,782 putouts for the season, in addition to 848 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 7th in pro baseball, and they have turned 82 double plays.

Abbott (6-2 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 237 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 40 base hits (5.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 19 walks. His earned run average is 1.90 (13 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.957. Abbott has taken the mound for 61 innings and has accumulated 66 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

Chicago is sitting with 116 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 489 runs batted in. They have put up 155 doubles, while getting a free base 370 times as well as scoring 506 runs. The Chicago Cubs have an OBP of .332 and a team batting average of .254 on the season. The Cubs hold a slugging % of .409 and they average 4.96 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have struck out on 930 occasions (9th in the league) and have accounted for 882 base hits.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.272 in addition to having a FIP of 4.18 as a team so far this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (840 strikeouts against 318 free passes). They are sitting at 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 831. They have allowed 109 long balls and they allow 4.50 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have given up 451 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.12 (413 earned runs surrendered).

Chicago has had relievers enter the game in 26 save chances and they have recorded 17 saves. They sit at 12th in MLB holding a save rate of 65.4%, and they have dispatched 312 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 76 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with base runners. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.1% out of their 134 inherited base runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Cubs have tallied 47 holds in addition to 9 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 91 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Cubs have recorded 937 assists, 55 errors and have earned 2,709 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 8,127 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (10th in baseball).

So far in his career, Stroman has allowed 1,240 base knocks while tallying 1,081 K's in 1,292 innings pitched. He has surrendered 518 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.247 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91 and he has gone up against 5,368 opposing batters during his career. Stroman (77-74 career record) has earned a 3.61 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago

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