Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 5/27/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+180) Chicago (-210)

The Cincinnati Reds (21-29) are traveling to Wrigley Field on Saturday where they will meet the Chicago Cubs (22-27). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +180 while Chicago is sitting at -210. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be Brandon Williamson and Jameson Taillon.

The Reds have tallied 86 doubles as a team and have hit 38 balls out of the park. Cincinnati is slugging .376 and have been called out on strikes 455 times, while being walked on 173 occasions. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 17th in the league. They have accounted for 209 RBI's as well as 412 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .248. They have 217 runs and have an OBP of .325.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 5.00 this season (27th in the league), and their staff has rung up 452 batters. Reds pitchers have given up 63 long balls and 256 total runs (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 182 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.49 as a team this year. Cincinnati has given up 466 base knocks (9.6 per 9 innings) and also 244 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.48.

The Reds relievers have a save rate of 61.9% and has entered the game in 46 save situations. The relievers have inherited 104 runners for the year and 31.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 72 times as well as having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 176 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen have racked up 23 holds so far this year (24th in MLB). They have recorded 13 saves for the season and have blown 8 of their 21 chances to save the game.

The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 1,318 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 395 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 11th in the majors, and they have twisted 38 double plays. The Reds have converted 66.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,954 innings, which has them sitting 30th in the majors.

Williamson has taken the hill for 10 innings and has tallied 9 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.60 (4 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.200. He has given up 6 hits (5.4 hits per nine innings) and has 6 free passes. Williamson (0-0 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.88 and he has faced 41 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cubs have a SLG% of .426 and they are earning 4.73 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have recorded 79 two-baggers, while taking a walk 189 times as well as scoring 232 runs. Chicago has accounted for 63 HRs on the season to go along with 224 RBIs. They have struck out on 448 occasions (9th in the league) and have accounted for 438 hits. The Chicago Cubs have a team on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .260 on the year.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.240 in addition to having a FIP of 3.96 as a unit over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (411 strikeouts against 146 bases on balls). They rank 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 391. They have conceded 48 homers and they yield 4.43 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 213 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.16 (200 earned runs relinquished).

With 34 save situations, the Cubs have 22 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 11 save chances and they have recorded 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 35 times in high leverage situations and also on 37 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 24.6% out of 57 inherited runners. They sit at 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 54.5%, and they have dispatched 157 relief pitchers onto the field for the season.

In 3,897 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (13th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 48 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (10th in MLB). The Cubs have 453 assists, 22 errors and are sitting with 1,299 putouts for the year.

During his career, Taillon has conceded 798 base hits while tallying 737 K's in 814 frames. Taillon (51-38 mark in his career) has a 3.98 earned run average and has surrendered 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 360 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.229 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 3,406 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-210)

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