Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+160) Boston (-190)

The Boston Red Sox (28-25) will try to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (24-29) at Fenway Park on Tuesday. The line on this contest has Cincinnati at +160 and Boston is opening at -190. The over/under has been set at 10. The men taking the mound are Ben Lively and Brayan Bello.

The Reds have compiled 100 two-baggers as a team and have hit 41 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .391 and have been called out on strikes 482 times, while drawing a walk on 186 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 14th in the league. They have accounted for 234 runs batted in and 457 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .256. They have tallied 242 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .333.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.48 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.46. Reds pitchers have surrendered 65 home runs and also 266 runs (26th in baseball). Cincinnati has allowed 485 hits (9.4 per 9 innings) and also 254 earned runs. The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.90 over the course of the season (27th in the league), and the staff has rung up 481 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 194 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.45 as a team on the season.

Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 73 times as well as having 68 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 24 holds on the campaign (26th in MLB). The Reds bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 65.2% and has entered the game in 49 save situations. They have accumulated 15 saves on the season and have not converted 8 out of their 23 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 105 runners so far this year and 31.4% of those runners crossed the plate. The Reds have dispatched 186 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Reds have turned 66.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 4,197 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 30th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 1,399 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 419 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which is 9th in MLB, and have a total of 41 double plays.

Lively has thrown 137 innings and has tallied 98 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.53 (69 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.372. He has surrendered 146 hits (9.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 42 free passes. Lively (6-12 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.90 while he has gone up against 589 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .430 and they are scoring 5.15 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have hit 115 doubles, while getting a free base 172 times and scoring 273 runs. Boston has compiled 61 home runs for the year to go along with 263 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 423 occasions (25th in MLB) and have notched a total of 475 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .262 on the season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 262 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.68 (242 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 75 homers and they relinquish 5.07 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 4.66 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.50 (441 strikeouts against 156 free passes). They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 453.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 47.1% out of 34 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 36 times in high leverage situations and on 22 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 46 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 27 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They sit at 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 73.7%, and they have sent 160 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Boston has had relievers enter the game in 19 save chances and they have come away with 14 saves.

Out of their 4,185 innings on the field, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (15th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 37 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in professional baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 455 assists, 32 errors and have 1,395 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Bello has conceded 114 base knocks while totaling 92 strikeouts in 92 innings pitched. He has given up 46 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.651 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and he has gone up against 425 opposing batters during his career. Bello (5-10 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.47 ERA while allowing 11.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-190) and under 10 runs

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