Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/18/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SportsNet NY

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+130) New York (-150)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (43-50) will go up against the Chicago White Sox (40-55) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has Chicago at +130 while New York is sitting at -150. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Lucas Giolito and Carlos Carrasco.

Chicago has a slugging % of .392 and have struck out 837 times, while taking a walk on 232 occasions. They have tallied 385 RBI's in addition to 773 base knocks on the season, while their batting average sits at .239. The White Sox have hit 161 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 106 baseballs out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 396 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .296. As a squad, the Chicago White Sox are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in MLB.

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The White Sox have a team ERA of 4.55 on the season (23rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 913 hitters. White Sox pitchers have conceded 129 home runs and also 464 runs in total (24th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 367 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.58 as a team on the year. Chicago has given up 784 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 427 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36.

White Sox relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 96 times in addition to having 137 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 48 holds on the campaign (17th in MLB). The White Sox bullpen have a save rate of 47.4% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. They have compiled 18 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 20 of 38 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 137 runners so far this year with 38.7% of those runners crossed home plate. The White Sox have sent 317 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 2,533 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 704 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 16th in professional baseball, and have earned 59 double plays. The White Sox have transformed 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,599 innings, which has them sitting at 15th in professional baseball.

Giolito (59-52 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.26 while going up against 3,928 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 811 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 346 free passes. His ERA is 4.22 (442 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.229. Giolito has pitched in 941 innings and has racked up 990 K's in his career.

The Mets have a SLG% of .398 and they average 4.39 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have tallied 122 two-baggers, while getting a free base 306 times and putting up 408 runs. New York has hit 115 long balls this year to go along with 397 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 737 occasions (27th in baseball) and have recorded 730 base hits. The New York Mets hold a team OBP of .317 as well as a team batting average of .237 for the year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.350 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.69 as a staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 754. The New York pitching staff have conceded 420 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.36 (393 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.90 (799 strikeouts vs 341 walks). They have surrendered 121 home runs and they give up 4.66 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB).

With 92 save situations, the Mets have tallied 56 holds and 12 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 33 save opportunities and they have tallied 21 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 93 times in high leverage situations in addition to 86 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.8% out of 127 inherited runners. They rank 13th in the league with a save rate of 63.6%, and they have sent 299 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The New York Mets have turned 84 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 804 assists, 48 errors and are sitting with 2,435 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 7,305 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (12th in pro baseball).

In his career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,445 base knocks while accumulating 1,550 K's in 1,509 innings pitched. Carrasco (107-88 career mark) has earned a 3.92 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 658 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.227 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.81 and he has faced 6,263 opposing batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+130)

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