Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, July 30, 2023

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+125) St. Louis (-145)

Busch Stadium is the site where the St. Louis Cardinals (46-59) will compete against the Chicago Cubs (52-51) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cubs at +125 and the Cardinals are at -145. The total is 9. The starting pitchers are Jameson Taillon and Adam Wainwright.

The Cubs have accumulated 157 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 117 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .410 and have struck out 935 times, while taking a walk on 375 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in MLB. They have tallied 492 runs batted in and 890 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .254. They have accounted for 509 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .333.

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The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 4.10 over the course of the season (14th in baseball), and they have rung up 852 batters. Cubs pitchers have conceded 111 home runs and also 453 runs in total (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 320 opposing players and their FIP is 4.17 as a unit this year. Chicago has conceded 838 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 415 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27.

The Cubs relief pitchers have a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 76 save situations. The relievers have inherited 135 base runners on the campaign and 28.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Cubs relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 82 times in addition to having 77 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 315 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 48 holds for the season (22nd in the league). They have recorded 18 saves for the year and have missed out on 9 out of their 27 save opportunities.

The Cubs have converted 69.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,208 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 8th in pro baseball. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 2,736 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 946 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which is 17th in baseball, and have earned 92 double plays.

Taillon has pitched in 870 innings and is sitting with 783 K's during his MLB career. Taillon (55-41 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.89 while facing 3,639 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.02 (389 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.230. He has allowed 854 base knocks (8.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 217 free passes.

The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .432 and they are recording 4.75 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have recorded 177 two-baggers, while getting a free base 365 times and scoring 499 runs. St. Louis has accounted for 146 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 481 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 885 occasions (17th in baseball) and have earned a total of 925 base knocks. The St. Louis Cardinals have recorded a team OBP of .332 and a batting average of .257 over the course of the season.

The Cardinals have a WHIP of 1.467 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.20 as a unit so far this season. They rank 30th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 999. The St. Louis pitching staff have given up 525 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.61 (474 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.20 (838 strikeouts against 358 walks). They have given up 101 homers and they concede 5.11 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.5% out of their 197 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 125 times in high leverage situations in addition to 120 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 102 save situations, the Cardinals have tallied 54 holds and also 24 blown saves. They are ranked 28th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 319 relievers to the hill on the year. St. Louis has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 48 save opportunities and they have come away with 24 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 91 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (5th in baseball). The Cardinals have 990 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,776 putouts on the campaign. In 8,328 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 66.3% (30th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Wainwright has allowed 2,514 base knocks while he has accumulated 2,178 punch outs in 2,624 innings pitched. Wainwright (198-121 record in his career) holds a 3.46 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 1,010 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.231 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has gone up against 10,907 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (-145)

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