Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-105) San Diego (-115)

The San Diego Padres (26-31) will play the Chicago Cubs (25-31) at Petco Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at -105 while the Padres are sitting at -115. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Marcus Stroman and Ryan Weathers.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 17th in baseball. They are sitting with 250 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. The Cubs have accrued 83 doubles as a unit and have hit 67 balls out of the park. They have 242 RBI's as well as 478 hits this season, while their batting average is .252. Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .409 and have been called out on strikes 519 times, while taking a walk on 215 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 53 home runs and 244 runs in total (11th in MLB). Chicago has yielded 453 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 230 earned runs. The Cubs hold a team earned run average of 4.17 on the year (14th in MLB), and they have rung up 471 hitters. They have walked 171 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.92 as a squad this year.

The Cubs have dispatched 181 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 77 runners so far this year with 24.7% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 8 saves over the course of the season and have blown 6 out of their 14 chances to get a save. The Cubs relievers have accumulated a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 41 save situations. The relievers have a total of 26 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). Cubs pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 47 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have accounted for 1,488 putouts thus far, as well as 512 assists and 26 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 14th in professional baseball, and have a total of 57 double plays. The Cubs have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,464 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in baseball.

Stroman (72-71 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.63 while going up against 5,131 batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,185 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 348 walks. His ERA is 3.56 (490 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.236. Stroman has taken the hill for 1,240 innings and has totaled 1,034 strikeouts during his career.

San Diego has hit 65 home runs for the year and 223 RBIs. They have tallied 95 doubles, while walking 237 times and earning 235 runs. The San Diego Padres are sitting with an OBP of .313 and a team batting average of .220 this season. The Padres hold a team slugging % of .381 and they are scoring 4.12 runs per contest (24th in the league). They have been rung up on 515 occasions (11th in baseball) and have earned 409 hits.

The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 228 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.85 (216 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 60 home runs and they concede 4.06 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.255 in addition to having a FIP of 4.20 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (477 strikeouts against 191 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 443.

San Diego has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 25 save chances and they have come away with 15 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 173 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 60 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 38.3% out of 60 inherited base runners. Sitting with 57 save situations, the Padres have tallied 32 holds and 10 blown saves.

In 4,548 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (2nd in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 47 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (3rd in MLB). The Padres have accrued 498 assists, 21 errors and have amassed 1,516 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Weathers has allowed 139 base knocks and he has 97 K's in 132 innings pitched. Weathers (5-10 record in his career) has a 5.18 earned run average and has surrendered 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 76 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.417 and a FIP of 5.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.02 and he has gone up against 561 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-115)

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