Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+150) San Diego (-175)

The Chicago Cubs (24-31) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (26-30). The moneyline on this game has the Cubs at +150 while the Padres open at -175. The over/under is 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Drew Smyly and Yu Darvish.

The Cubs have tallied 83 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 66 baseballs out of the park. Chicago has a slugging % of .412 and have been called out on strikes 506 times, while drawing a walk on 210 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.5 runs per game, which puts them at 15th in MLB. They have accounted for 240 runs batted in and 474 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .254. They have 248 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .333.

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The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 4.23 for the season (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 461 hitters. Cubs pitchers have conceded 53 home runs in addition to 243 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 169 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a unit on the year. Chicago has allowed 449 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 229 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.73 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27.

Cubs relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 45 times in addition to having 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 23 holds this season (27th in MLB). The Cubs relievers have accumulated a save rate of 53.8% and has entered the game in 37 save situations. They have earned 7 saves this season and have blown 6 of their 13 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 74 base runners over the course of the season and 25.7% of those runners ended up scoring. The Cubs have sent 177 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Chicago Cubs have earned 1,461 putouts thus far, as well as 507 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 11th in baseball, and have accumulated 56 double plays. The Cubs have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,383 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in pro baseball.

Smyly has taken the hill for 1,003 innings and has 975 punch outs during his career. Smyly (58-49 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.24 while he has faced 4,209 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.06 (453 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.253. He has conceded 952 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 306 walks.

The Padres hold a slugging % of .384 and they score 4.18 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have tallied 94 doubles, while getting a free base 235 times and scoring 234 runs. San Diego is sitting with 65 home runs on the campaign to go along with 222 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 505 occasions (12th in the league) and have totaled 405 hits. The San Diego Padres are sitting with an OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .222 this year.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.260 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.22 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (464 strikeouts against 186 bases on balls). They sit at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 439. They have surrendered 59 homers and they concede 4.10 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 226 runs this year while having a team ERA of 3.88 (214 earned runs conceded).

San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 39.7% out of 58 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 60 times in high leverage situations and on 36 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 57 save situations, the Padres have amassed 32 holds and also 10 blown saves. They rank 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 170 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season. San Diego has called on relievers to enter the game in 25 save chances and they have earned 15 saves.

In their 4,467 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (2nd in baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 47 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (4th in baseball). The Padres have racked up 490 assists, 21 errors and have a total of 1,489 putouts this season.

Darvish (98-79 career win-loss mark) has a 3.54 ERA while conceding 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.72 and he has faced 6,338 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 608 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.128 and having a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Darvish has surrendered 1,246 base knocks while he has earned 1,847 punch outs in 1,544 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (+150)

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