Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, July 6, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-120) Milwaukee (+100)

The Chicago Cubs (39-45) are hitting the road to American Family Field on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Milwaukee Brewers (46-40). The moneyline on this matchup has the Cubs at -120 while the Brewers are coming in at +100. The total is set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Marcus Stroman and Freddy Peralta.

As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 12th in baseball. They have a total of 388 runs scored and hold an OBP of .326. The Cubs have accumulated 127 doubles as a team and have hit 91 balls out of the park. They have tallied 376 runs batted in as well as 707 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .248. Chicago is slugging .400 and have been called out on strikes 770 times, while drawing a walk on 304 occasions.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 4.01 on the season (12th in the league), and they have struck out 689 hitters. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 80 home runs in addition to 365 runs in total (11th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 261 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.02 as a team on the season. Chicago has allowed 675 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 331 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.64 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26.

The Cubs bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 55.6% and has entered the game in 56 save situations. The relievers have inherited 114 runners this season with 31.6% of them crossed home plate. Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 69 times and also have had 62 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 259 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have a total of 37 holds for the year (26th in the league). They have 10 saves over the course of the season and have blown 8 of their 18 save chances.

The Chicago Cubs have notched a total of 2,229 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 761 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 18th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,687 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in professional baseball.

Stroman (76-73 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.61 while he has gone up against 5,280 hitters in the majors. He has given up 1,217 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 361 free passes. His ERA is 3.54 (502 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.238. Stroman has taken the hill for 1,274 innings and is sitting with 1,064 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .372 and they earn 4.21 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have hit 119 doubles, while walking 299 times as well as scoring 362 runs. Milwaukee has hit 90 long balls so far this year as well as 347 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 806 occasions (4th in MLB) and have accounted for 650 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied an OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .229 for the year.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 377 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.12 (349 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 109 long balls and they concede 4.45 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 4.58 as a staff this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (686 strikeouts against 273 bases on balls). They come in at 10th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 695.

With 87 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 51 holds and 10 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 35 save chances and they have come away with 25 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 81 times in high leverage situations in addition to 70 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.0% out of their 100 inherited base runners. They are ranked 5th in MLB with a save rate of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 275 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 64 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in professional baseball). The Brewers have 758 assists, 40 errors and have accounted for 2,291 putouts this season. In 6,873 innings on the field, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (3rd in professional baseball).

Peralta (35-24 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.96 ERA while allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.07 and he has gone up against 2,097 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 221 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.158 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. During his MLB career, Peralta has conceded 374 hits while earning 636 K's in 501 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-120)

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