Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+100) Milwaukee (-120)

The Chicago Cubs (38-44) are en route to American Family Field on Tuesday where they will play the Milwaukee Brewers (45-39). The moneyline on this contest has the Cubs at +100 while the Brewers are at -120. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley.

Chicago is slugging .399 and have struck out 749 times, while taking a walk on 298 occasions. They have recorded 363 runs batted in as well as 685 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is sitting at .248. The Cubs have tallied 120 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 90 balls out of the park. They have 375 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .326. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which puts them at 13th in baseball.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 3.97 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 672 hitters. Cubs pitchers have given up 80 long balls and also 351 total runs (9th in MLB). They have walked 251 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.03 as a team on the campaign. Chicago has relinquished 656 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 319 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 62.5% and has entered the game in 52 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 104 runners over the course of the season with 30.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Cubs pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 64 times as well as having 56 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 251 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen have a total of 35 holds this year (27th in MLB). They have recorded 10 saves for the year and have blown 6 of 16 save opportunities.

The Cubs have converted 69.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,516 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in MLB. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 2,172 putouts on the campaign, as well as 742 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 17th in the majors, and have 71 double plays.

Hendricks has taken the mound for 1,354 innings and has accounted for 1,101 strikeouts during his career. Hendricks (90-64 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.80 and he has gone up against 5,539 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.44 (517 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.144. He has given up 1,247 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 303 free passes.

The Brewers hold a team slugging percentage of .372 and they are earning 4.14 runs per game (24th in the league). They have notched 116 doubles, while getting a free base 289 times as well as putting up 348 runs. Milwaukee has knocked in 90 home runs so far this year and 334 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 789 instances (4th in MLB) and have recorded 629 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded an on-base percentage of .307 and a team batting average of .228 this year.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.263 with a FIP of 4.62 as a unit so far this year. They are currently ranked 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 672. The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 364 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (337 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.00 (665 strikeouts vs 267 free passes). They have allowed 108 long balls and they surrender 4.41 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball).

Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 34 save chances and they have earned 24 saves. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have sent 267 relievers to the hill for the year. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 77 times in high leverage situations in addition to 67 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.3% out of 99 inherited runners. With 86 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 51 holds in addition to 10 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 62 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in baseball). The Brewers have racked up 740 assists, 39 errors and have accumulated 2,231 putouts over the course of the season. In 6,693 innings on the field, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (1st in baseball).

In his MLB career, Miley has conceded 1,709 base hits while he has accumulated 1,314 punch outs in 1,674 innings pitched. He has allowed 761 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.365 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 7,170 hitters so far in his career. Miley (104-96 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.09 ERA and has conceded 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+100)

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