Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-118) Milwaukee (-102)

The Milwaukee Brewers (91-69) will go up against the Chicago Cubs (82-78) at American Family Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Cubs at -118 while the Brewers open at -102. The betting total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Justin Steele and Adrian Houser.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have tallied 809 runs scored and have an OBP of .330. The Cubs have recorded 264 two-baggers as a team and have hit 193 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 776 runs batted in and 1,381 hits on the year, and their batting average is .254. Chicago is slugging .420 and have struck out 1,374 times, while being walked on 562 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.28. Cubs pitchers have surrendered 176 home runs and also 713 runs in total (14th in MLB). Chicago has conceded 1,310 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 641 earned runs. The Cubs are sitting with a team ERA of 4.07 for the year (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,353 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 503 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.16 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Cubs have dispatched 503 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 218 base runners for the year with 28.0% of those players crossed the plate. They have 34 saves for the year and have blown 22 of 56 chances to save the game. The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 60.7% and stepped onto the hill in 139 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 82 holds for the season (17th in baseball). Cubs relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 134 times as well as having 149 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have a tally of 4,255 putouts this year, in addition to 1,479 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which is 20th in MLB, and they have turned 136 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,765 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in MLB.

Steele has pitched in 349 innings and has accumulated 361 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Steele (24-16 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.49 while facing 1,476 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.30 (128 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.262. He has surrendered 328 base knocks (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 113 free passes.

Milwaukee has a total of 162 home runs for the year and 686 runs batted in. They have 254 doubles, while getting a free base 581 times as well as earning 718 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers have recorded a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .239 so far this season. The Brewers hold a slugging percentage of .384 and they average 4.49 runs per contest (17th in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,388 occasions (15th in the league) and have 1,273 hits.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.182 with a FIP of 4.20 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,408 strikeouts against 485 walks). They are currently ranked 1st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,200. They have allowed 195 home runs and they concede 4.02 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 637 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.69 (585 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 174 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 102 holds and 25 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 71 save chances and they have earned 46 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 173 times in high leverage situations and on 118 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.5% out of 162 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 10th in MLB with a save rate of 64.8%, and they have sent 511 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 117 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,393 assists, 77 errors and have a tally of 4,275 putouts for the season. In their 12,825 innings on the diamond, the Brewers hold a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (1st in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Houser has allowed 517 base hits while tallying 434 K's in 534 innings pitched. Houser (30-34 career win-loss mark) has a 4.04 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 240 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.361 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.07 and he has gone up against 2,290 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-118)

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