Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

The Miami Marlins (12-13) are hosting the Chicago Cubs (13-10) at loanDepot park on Friday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Marcus Stroman and Jesus Luzardo.

Chicago is slugging .443 and have been called out on strikes 187 times, while drawing a walk on 83 occasions. They have earned 124 RBI's in addition to 221 base knocks so far this season, and their batting average sits at .276. The Cubs have hit 38 doubles as a team and have smacked 30 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 130 runs while holding a team OBP of .347. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are recording 5.7 runs per outing, which has them at 3rd in MLB.

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The Cubs hold a team ERA of 3.57 so far this year (7th in the league), and the staff has rung up 223 hitters. Cubs pitchers have relinquished 22 home runs and 87 runs in total (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 78 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.80 as a unit for the year. Chicago has allowed 163 base hits (7.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 82 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

The Cubs have sent 76 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 18 runners for the season with 27.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 2 saves this year and have blown 4 of 6 save opportunities. The Cubs relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 33.3% and stepped onto the hill in 20 save situations. The bullpen have notched 14 holds on the season (12th in baseball). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 12 times in addition to having 17 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have amassed 620 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 201 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them ranked 18th in the majors, and have accumulated 14 double plays. The Cubs have converted 71.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,860 innings, ranking them 5th in baseball.

Stroman has taken the hill for 1,196 innings and has racked up 1,002 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.58 (476 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.246. He has given up 1,155 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 335 walks. Stroman (69-69 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.64 while facing 4,963 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

Miami has 26 home runs on the campaign to go along with 79 runs batted in. They have put up 35 two-baggers, while walking 65 times and scoring 80 runs. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .300 in addition to a team batting average of .241 over the course of the season. The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .385 and they have an average of 3.20 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have struck out on 223 occasions (16th in MLB) and have earned a total of 199 base hits.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.308 and have a FIP of 4.65 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (207 strikeouts against 84 free passes). They come in at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 205. They have yielded 32 long balls and they surrender 4.85 runs per 9 innings (19th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 119 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 4.52 (111 earned runs yielded).

Miami has called on relievers to enter the game in 6 save chances and they have tallied 5 saves. They sit at 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 83.3%, and they have dispatched 78 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 22 times in high leverage situations and also on 23 occasions with runners on base. Miami bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 15.4% out of their 39 inherited runners. With 17 save situations, the Marlins have earned 11 holds in addition to 1 blown save.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 18 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (22nd in baseball). The Marlins have 227 assists, 16 errors and have earned 663 putouts for the season. In 1,989 innings on the field, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (12th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Luzardo has surrendered 267 hits and he has 325 punch outs in 294 innings. Luzardo (15-19 career record) is the owner of a 4.50 ERA while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 147 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.289 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and he has gone up against 1,248 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago

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