Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, September 1, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-118) Cincinnati (-102)

The Chicago Cubs (71-62) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Friday where they will play the Cincinnati Reds (69-66). The odds on this game have Chicago at -118 and Cincinnati is at -102. The total has been set at 10. The expected starting pitchers will be Javier Assad and Graham Ashcraft.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .416 and have been called out on strikes 1,170 times, while taking a walk on 464 occasions. They have earned 641 runs batted in in addition to 1,138 hits this season, while their average at the plate is at .253. The Cubs have tallied 215 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 158 balls out of the park. They have 668 runs while having a team OBP of .328. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are compiling 5.0 runs/g, which is 6th in the league.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Cubs pitchers have relinquished 145 home runs and also 591 total runs (17th in the league). Chicago has allowed 1,084 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 537 earned runs. The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 4.11 so far this season (15th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,109 batters. They have walked 413 opposing players and their FIP is 4.17 as a team for the season.

The Cubs relievers have earned a save percentage of 70.7% and stepped onto the hill in 111 save situations. The relievers have inherited 177 base runners on the season with 28.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 104 times in addition to having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 411 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 69 holds over the course of the season (15th in MLB). They have compiled 29 saves so far this season and have not converted 12 out of their 41 save chances.

The Cubs have turned 69.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,431 innings, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have 3,477 putouts this year, as well as 1,191 assists and 71 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 18th in MLB, and they have turned 112 double plays.

Assad has thrown 116 frames and has earned 90 K's in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.01 (39 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.286. He has allowed 98 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 52 free passes. Assad (5-4 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.46 while going up against 487 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Cincinnati has knocked in 154 home runs on the year as well as 611 runs batted in. They have hit 226 doubles, while walking 456 times as well as putting up 641 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .247 on the campaign. The Reds hold a team slugging % of .410 and they average 4.75 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,262 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,128 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 668 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.70 (627 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 184 home runs and they yield 5.01 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.405 with a FIP of 4.75 as a staff so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,148 strikeouts vs 500 walks). They come in at 24th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,186.

Cincinnati has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 67 save opportunities and they have tallied 46 saves. They rank 8th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.7%, and they have sent 491 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 202 times in high leverage situations in addition to 184 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.8% out of their 259 inherited base runners. With 149 save situations, the Reds have earned 79 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In 10,650 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (20th in baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 103 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (17th in pro baseball). The Reds have recorded 1,074 assists, 70 errors and have accumulated 3,550 putouts for the year.

During his MLB career, Ashcraft has conceded 261 base knocks and he has 176 punch outs in 245 frames. He has conceded a total of 131 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.392 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.17 and he has gone up against 1,067 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Ashcraft (12-14 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.80 earned run average while conceding 9.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-102)

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