Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, April 3, 2023

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-130) Cincinnati (+110)

Great American Ball Park is where the Cincinnati Reds (2-1) will try to defeat the Chicago Cubs (1-2) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cubs at -130 while the Reds are sitting at +110. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Drew Smyly and Connor Overton.

The Cubs have tallied 1 double as a team and have hit 1 baseball out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .246 and have struck out 15 times, while taking a walk on 5 occasions. As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are recording 2.5 runs/g, which has them at 21st in MLB. They have accrued 4 runs batted in and 11 hits so far this season, while their batting average is at .180. They have racked up 5 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .254.

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Cubs pitchers have conceded 0 home runs and also 3 runs (4th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 9 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 2.16 as a team this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.78 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.06. The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 1.50 this season (4th in MLB), and they have struck out 25 batters.

The Cubs turned 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,993 innings, which ranked them 16th in pro baseball. The Chicago Cubs had a total of 4,331 putouts over the course of the prior season, in addition to 1,453 assists and 96 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .984 which ranked 24th in MLB, and they turned 139 double plays.

Smyly has taken the mound for 943 frames and has accounted for 922 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Smyly (53-47 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.28 and he has faced 3,968 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.10 (430 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.266. He has conceded 903 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 292 walks.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .476 and they average 5.00 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have hit 2 doubles, while walking 9 times as well as scoring 10 runs. Cincinnati has accumulated 4 home runs over the course of the season as well as 9 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 23 occasions (11th in MLB) and have 14 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .222 over the course of the season.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.333 in addition to having a FIP of 3.43 as a squad on the campaign. They are sitting at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 13. The Cincinnati pitching staff have allowed 7 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.50 (7 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.09 (23 strikeouts vs 11 bases on balls). They have given up 1 dinger and they allow 3.50 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

Out of their 12,810 innings on the diamond, the Reds finished with a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds turned 115 double plays and had a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Reds recorded 1,296 assists, 81 errors and had 4,270 putouts last season.

Overton (1-1 career win-loss record) has a 3.35 ERA and has surrendered 6.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.81 and he has faced 187 batters during his career. He has given up 18 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.055 and having a FIP of 3.7. So far in his MLB career, Overton has given up 35 hits while he has totaled 29 K's in 48 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-130)

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