Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/17/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+130) Toronto (-155)

The Boston Red Sox (74-74) are hitting the road to Rogers Centre on Sunday where they will take on the Toronto Blue Jays (81-67). The moneyline on this matchup has Boston at +130 and Toronto is priced at -155. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Hyun Jin Ryu.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 8th in the league. They have 731 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .328. The Red Sox have earned 320 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 174 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 697 RBI's as well as 1,339 hits on the season, while their batting average sits at .263. Boston is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,234 times, while taking a walk on 451 occasions.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.85 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.36. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 195 home runs and 718 runs in total (22nd in the league). Boston has conceded 1,318 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) as well as 666 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.58 so far this season (21st in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,297 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 455 batters and their FIP is 4.44 as a team this season.

Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 108 times as well as having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 63 holds for the year (27th in MLB). The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 75.5% and has entered the game in 117 save situations. They have 40 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 13 of 53 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 base runners over the course of the season with 30.7% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 469 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Red Sox have turned 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,772 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have earned 3,924 putouts this season, as well as 1,311 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and have earned 126 double plays.

Pivetta has taken the ball for 863 frames and has 944 strikeouts thus far in his career. Pivetta (49-59 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.46 while he has faced 3,720 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.95 (475 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.367. He has given up 841 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has 339 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded an OBP of .330 as well as a batting average of .257 on the season. They have been rung up on 1,184 occasions (24th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,303 hits. Toronto is sitting with 170 home runs on the campaign as well as 639 RBIs. The Blue Jays have a slugging percentage of .416 and they are recording 4.54 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have 267 doubles, while getting a free base 502 times as well as scoring 672 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have relinquished 614 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.78 (555 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 181 dingers and they yield 4.18 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.246 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a unit on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.40 (1,383 strikeouts against 447 walks). They are sitting at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,200.

Toronto has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 66 save opportunities and they have earned 50 saves. They sit at 1st in baseball with a save rate of 75.8%, and they have dispatched 500 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with base runners. Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.9% out of their 223 inherited base runners. With 161 save situations, the Blue Jays have compiled 95 holds and 16 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 115 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Blue Jays have 1,190 assists, 68 errors and have earned a total of 3,966 putouts this year. In 11,898 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (13th in pro baseball).

Ryu (78-48 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.25 ERA while giving up 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.02 and he has gone up against 4,277 opposing batters during his career. He has allowed 377 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.173 and a FIP of 3.5. In his pro baseball career, Ryu has given up 993 base knocks while earning 929 strikeouts in 1,043 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+130)

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