Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 9/16/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-122) Toronto (+102)

The Toronto Blue Jays (80-67) will go up against the Boston Red Sox (74-73) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox at -122 while the Blue Jays are sitting at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Chris Sale and Chris Bassitt.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .436 and have been called out on strikes 1,223 times, while being walked on 451 occasions. They have earned 697 RBI's and 1,334 hits this year, while their batting average is at .263. The Red Sox have hit 317 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 174 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 731 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .329. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 8th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.83 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 194 home runs and also 715 total runs (22nd in baseball). Boston has surrendered 1,314 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and 663 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.59 on the season (21st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,284 batters. They have walked 454 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a team on the campaign.

The Red Sox have dispatched 468 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 166 runners so far this season with 30.7% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 40 saves on the year and have missed out on 13 out of their 53 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 75.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 117 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 63 holds this year (27th in the league). Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 108 times in addition to having 130 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 3,900 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,305 assists and 97 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which is 29th in baseball, and they have turned 126 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 67.3% of balls in play into outs in their 11,700 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in baseball.

Sale has thrown 1,764 innings and has accounted for 2,170 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.12 (612 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.050. He has given up 1,441 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 412 free passes. Sale (120-79 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 2.97 while going up against 7,120 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .417 and they tally 4.55 runs per game (17th in MLB). They have tallied 266 doubles, while walking 501 times as well as recording 669 runs. Toronto has 169 home runs this season as well as 636 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,171 occasions (24th in MLB) and are sitting with 1,299 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays have an OBP of .331 and a batting average of .258 on the season.

The Blue Jays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.251 and have a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They sit at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,196. The Toronto pitching staff have given up 614 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.80 (555 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (1,372 strikeouts vs 447 free passes). They have surrendered 181 dingers and they give up 4.21 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

With 159 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 94 holds and 16 blown saves. Toronto has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 65 save opportunities and they have earned 49 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 154 occasions with base runners. Toronto bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.9% out of 223 inherited base runners. They rank 2nd in baseball holding a save rate of 75.4%, and they have dispatched 498 relievers onto the field this year.

Out of their 11,817 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (13th in MLB). The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 115 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in baseball). The Blue Jays have racked up 1,183 assists, 68 errors and have 3,939 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bassitt has allowed 815 base hits and he has 832 K's in 916 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 359 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.199 and a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.94 and he has gone up against 3,834 batters thus far in his career. Bassitt (60-42 record in his career) has earned a 3.53 earned run average while allowing 8.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-122)

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