Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 7/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, July 1, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Toronto (-130)

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-37) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (40-42) at Rogers Centre on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +110 and Toronto is at -130. The betting total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Kutter Crawford and Yusei Kikuchi.

Boston is slugging .419 and have been called out on strikes 664 times, while drawing a walk on 266 occasions. They have tallied 380 RBI's as well as 724 hits so far this season, while their batting average is at .258. The Red Sox have tallied 180 two-baggers as a team and have hit 84 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 397 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .329. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.8 runs/g, which puts them at 9th in MLB.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.45 over the course of the season (21st in the league), and they have struck out 695 batters. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 105 home runs in addition to 391 runs (23rd in the league). They have walked 233 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a team so far this year. Boston has conceded 708 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and also 358 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 50 times in addition to having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 37 holds over the course of the season (24th in MLB). The Red Sox relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 75.0% and stepped onto the hill in 65 save situations. They have earned 21 saves on the season and have blown 7 out of their 28 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 76 runners on the year with 34.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 245 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Boston Red Sox have a tally of 2,172 putouts so far this season, in addition to 727 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 29th in pro baseball, and have a total of 66 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,516 innings on the field, which has them ranked 19th in MLB.

Crawford has taken the ball for 131 innings and is sitting with 129 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Crawford (5-11 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.30 while he has gone up against 558 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 5.15 (75 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.336. He has given up 134 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 41 walks.

The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated an OBP of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .263 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 648 instances (25th in the league) and have recorded 742 base knocks. Toronto has compiled 90 long balls this season to go along with 349 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a slugging % of .420 and they have an average of 4.50 runs per game (14th in MLB). They have put up 156 two-baggers, while walking 259 times as well as racking up 369 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 343 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.89 (314 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 108 home runs and they relinquish 4.25 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.260 in addition to having a FIP of 4.26 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (770 strikeouts vs 250 bases on balls). They come in at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 665.

With 81 save situations, the Blue Jays have recorded 47 holds and also 7 blown saves. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 34 save opportunities and they have tallied 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 85 times in high leverage situations in addition to 87 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 21.4% out of 126 inherited base runners. They rank 1st in the league holding a save rate of 79.4%, and they have sent 271 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 65 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (18th in baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 642 assists, 43 errors and have accounted for 2,180 putouts for the year. In their 6,540 innings played, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (13th in the majors).

During his career, Kikuchi has given up 552 hits and he has 535 strikeouts in 550 innings pitched. He has conceded 295 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.394 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. His K/BB ratio is 2.49 and he has faced 2,384 hitters so far in his MLB career. Kikuchi (28-33 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.82 ERA and has allowed 9.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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