Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 6/30/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, June 30, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Rogers Centre is where the Toronto Blue Jays (44-37) will compete against the Boston Red Sox (40-41) on Friday. The expected starting pitchers will be James Paxton and Jose Berrios.

Boston is slugging .423 and have been called out on strikes 650 times, while drawing a walk on 265 occasions. They have accumulated 380 runs batted in as well as 720 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .260. The Red Sox have tallied 180 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 84 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 397 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .331. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which has them at 9th in MLB.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 104 home runs and also 389 runs in total (24th in baseball). Boston has surrendered 701 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) as well as 356 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.48 on the campaign (23rd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 688 batters. They have walked 231 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a team on the campaign.

The Red Sox relievers have a save rate of 75.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 65 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 74 base runners over the course of the season with 33.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 49 times as well as having 66 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 243 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 37 holds this season (23rd in baseball). They have earned 21 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 7 out of their 28 save chances.

The Red Sox have transformed 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,435 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 2,145 putouts for the season, as well as 716 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .982 which puts them in 29th in MLB, and they have twisted 64 double plays.

Paxton (60-34 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.31 and he has gone up against 3,300 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 716 hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 242 walks. His earned run average is 3.57 (316 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.202. Paxton has thrown 797 frames and has earned 885 K's so far in his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays have an on-base percentage of .330 as well as a batting average of .264 this season. They have been rung up on 644 occasions (25th in baseball) and have totaled 739 base hits. Toronto has knocked in 89 home runs so far this season as well as 347 runs batted in. The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .421 and they score 4.53 runs per outing (14th in MLB). They have 156 two-baggers, while getting a free base 257 times and recording 367 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have surrendered 342 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.93 (313 earned runs conceded). They have given up 108 dingers and they allow 4.29 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.29 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.50 (756 strikeouts vs 247 free passes). They rank 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 660.

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 21.4% out of their 126 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 85 times in high leverage situations and also on 87 occasions with runners on. With 78 save situations, the Blue Jays have tallied 45 holds and 7 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 78.8%, and they have sent 268 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Toronto has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 33 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 65 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 636 assists, 42 errors and have a total of 2,153 putouts on the campaign. In 6,459 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (13th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Berrios has allowed 1,061 base hits while tallying 1,093 strikeouts in 1,118 frames. Berrios (80-59 career record) has a 4.18 ERA while surrendering 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 520 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.22 and he has gone up against 4,736 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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