Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/20/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+124) Texas (-148)

The Boston Red Sox (75-76) are headed to Globe Life Field on Wednesday where they will go up against the Texas Rangers (82-68). The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +124 while the Rangers are priced at -148. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Brayan Bello and Jon Gray.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 4.9 runs per contest, which has them at 9th in MLB. They have accounted for 740 runs and have an OBP of .327. The Red Sox have earned 325 doubles as a unit and have hit 176 balls out of the park. They have amassed 706 RBI's and 1,361 hits this season, while their average at the plate is .261. Boston has a slugging rate of .432 and have struck out 1,264 times, while drawing a walk on 463 occasions.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.53 on the season (21st in MLB), and they have rung up 1,332 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have given up 198 home runs and also 727 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 464 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.41 as a team so far this year. Boston has given up 1,338 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 673 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.87 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35.

The Red Sox have dispatched 482 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 169 base runners on the season with 30.2% of those players earned a run for their team. They have recorded 41 saves on the year and have not converted 14 of 55 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relievers have a save rate of 74.5% and stepped onto the hill in 123 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 67 holds this season (26th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with players on base 112 times in addition to having 140 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,042 innings, which has them ranked 28th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have a total of 4,014 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,333 assists and 98 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 127 double plays.

Bello has taken the ball for 205 innings and has earned 182 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 3.99 (91 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.407. He has allowed 223 base hits (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 66 walks. Bello (14-17 career mark) has a FIP of 3.84 and he has faced 889 batters in the majors.

The Rangers hold a slugging percentage of .453 and they average 5.47 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have notched 313 doubles, while walking 542 times and notching 820 runs. Texas has 210 home runs for the year as well as 786 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,314 occasions (14th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,380 base hits. The Texas Rangers have earned a team on-base percentage of .337 and a team batting average of .265 so far this season.

The Rangers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.275 and have a FIP of 4.36 as a team on the season. They sit at 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,239. The Texas pitching staff have allowed 671 runs this season while having an ERA of 4.32 (639 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (1,246 strikeouts against 458 free passes). They have surrendered 186 homers and they relinquish 4.54 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).

Sitting with 130 save situations, the Rangers have earned 71 holds and 31 blown saves. Texas has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 58 save opportunities and they have tallied 27 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 144 times in high leverage situations and also on 149 occasions with base runners. Texas relievers have an inherited score percentage of 29.8% out of 242 inherited base runners. They rank 30th in MLB with a save rate of 46.6%, and they have sent 430 relievers onto the field on the season.

Out of their 11,985 innings on the field, the Rangers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (5th in professional baseball). The Texas Rangers have gotten 138 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (2nd in MLB). The Rangers have accrued 1,324 assists, 55 errors and have amassed 3,995 putouts this year.

Gray (68-64 mark in his career) has earned a 4.44 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 4,699 batters thus far in his career. He has conceded a total of 546 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.309 and a FIP of 4.0. In his MLB career, Gray has allowed 1,075 hits while accumulating 1,117 strikeouts in 1,105 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Texas (-148) and under 8.5 runs

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