Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, September 4, 2023

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Tampa Bay Rays (82-54) will go up against the Boston Red Sox (70-66) at Tropicana Field on Monday. The pitchers taking the mound are Brayan Bello and Zach Eflin.

Boston has a slugging % of .438 and have been rung up 1,100 times, while drawing a walk on 417 occasions. They have tallied 649 runs batted in as well as 1,236 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is .264. The Red Sox have tallied 296 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 161 balls out of the park. They have earned 676 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .330. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 8th in baseball.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.91 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 181 home runs in addition to 656 runs in total (21st in MLB). Boston has allowed 1,220 hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 607 earned runs. The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.55 on the year (21st in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,176 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 404 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a unit this season.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 97 times and also have had 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 60 holds this year (25th in MLB). The Red Sox bullpen have earned a save rate of 76.9% and has come into the game in 113 save situations. They have compiled 40 saves for the season and have blown 12 of their 52 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 150 runners this season with 30.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 427 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Red Sox have turned 67.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,809 innings on the field, ranking them 29th in professional baseball. The Boston Red Sox have amassed 3,603 putouts this year, in addition to 1,219 assists and 92 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which is 30th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 118 double plays.

Bello has thrown 188 innings and is sitting with 161 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Bello (12-16 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.00 and he has faced 822 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.92 (82 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.434. He has allowed 207 base knocks (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 63 walks.

Tampa Bay is sitting with 197 home runs for the year as well as 696 RBIs. They have hit 229 doubles, while taking a walk 428 times and scoring 726 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have tallied an OBP of .331 in addition to a batting average of .259 for the season. The Rays have a team SLG% of .446 and they score 5.34 runs per outing (4th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,186 occasions (13th in the league) and have 1,193 base knocks.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.184 in addition to having a FIP of 3.83 as a staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,214 strikeouts vs 372 walks). They have a ranking of 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,056. They have allowed 143 homers and they surrender 4.04 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 542 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.84 (514 earned runs allowed).

Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.2% of 151 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 130 times in high leverage situations in addition to 100 occasions with runners on base. With 121 save situations, the Rays have earned 59 holds and 24 blown saves. They sit at 21st in MLB with a save rate of 60.7%, and they have dispatched 440 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 61 save opportunities and they have earned 37 saves.

Out of their 10,857 innings on the diamond, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (4th in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 99 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (5th in baseball). The Rays have accrued 1,214 assists, 55 errors and have accumulated 3,619 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Eflin has allowed 828 base knocks while he has accumulated 703 punch outs in 810 innings. Eflin (49-53 career mark) has a 4.29 earned run average and has conceded 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 386 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.244 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.91 and he has faced 3,399 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

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