Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 7/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-120) San Francisco (+100)

The San Francisco Giants (56-47) will compete against the Boston Red Sox (55-47) at Oracle Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -120 while the Giants are coming in at +100. The total has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are James Paxton and Anthony DeSclafani.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are compiling 5.1 runs/g, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. They have accumulated 516 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .334. The Red Sox have recorded 226 two-baggers as a team and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 494 runs batted in in addition to 930 hits on the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .266. Boston is slugging .437 and have been called out on strikes 835 times, while drawing a walk on 322 occasions.

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The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.29 for the season (17th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 878 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 129 long balls in addition to 467 runs in total (18th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 292 opposing players and their FIP is 4.33 as a team on the season. Boston has allowed 871 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 429 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 67 times in addition to having 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 43 holds over the course of the season (27th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 78.4% and has come into the game in 80 save situations. They have tallied 29 saves on the season and have blown 8 of their 37 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 103 runners on the campaign with 28.2% of those runners crossed home plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 314 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Red Sox have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,109 innings, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have 2,703 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 903 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 30th in the majors, and they have turned 88 double plays.

Paxton has taken the ball for 819 innings and has racked up 906 K's thus far in his career. Paxton (63-35 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.34 and he has gone up against 3,388 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.58 (326 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.196. He has conceded 731 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 249 free passes.

San Francisco has tallied 119 home runs for the year and 454 runs batted in. They have put up 173 two-baggers, while getting a free base 349 times and scoring 467 runs. The San Francisco Giants have accumulated an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .241 so far this season. The Giants hold a slugging percentage of .399 and they are scoring 4.53 runs per contest (15th in MLB). They have struck out on 977 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have recorded 837 base hits.

The Giants are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.257 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a unit this year. They have a ranking of 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 881. The San Francisco pitching staff have surrendered 444 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (403 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (888 strikeouts against 268 bases on balls). They have given up 108 dingers and they concede 4.37 runs per 9 innings (12th in baseball).

With 100 save situations, the Giants have accrued 46 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. San Francisco has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 52 save chances and they have walked away with 39 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 105 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on. San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.2% out of 126 inherited runners. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 314 relievers onto the diamond this season.

The San Francisco Giants have turned 93 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (27th in baseball). The Giants have 1,005 assists, 66 errors and have earned a total of 2,744 putouts on the campaign. In their 8,232 innings on the field, the Giants have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (27th in professional baseball).

DeSclafani (54-56 career record) has a 4.20 earned run average while conceding 9.0 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.31 and he has gone up against 3,965 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 440 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.268 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. So far in his pro baseball career, DeSclafani has surrendered 944 hits and he has 830 punch outs in 942 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Francisco (+100)

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