Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+115) San Diego (-135)

Petco Park is where the San Diego Padres (20-25) will play the Boston Red Sox (25-20) on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Boston at +115 and San Diego is coming in at -135. The over/under is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Corey Kluber and Michael Wacha.

The Red Sox have earned 102 doubles as a team and have knocked 57 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging percentage of .451 and have been rung up 349 times, while taking a walk on 147 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 5.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 3rd in baseball. They have accrued 244 runs batted in and 419 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average comes in at .271. They have racked up 254 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .341.

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The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.91 for the season (26th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 378 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 62 long balls and 233 total runs (27th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 140 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.66 as a squad for the year. Boston has conceded 404 base knocks (9.1 per 9 innings) and 217 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Red Sox have dispatched 141 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 runners on the season with 48.4% of those players earned a run for their team. They have earned 12 saves on the campaign and have blown 5 out of their 17 save chances. The Red Sox relievers have earned a save percentage of 70.6% and stepped onto the hill in 41 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 24 holds on the season (11th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 20 times as well as having 30 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 1,194 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 399 assists and 30 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 27th in MLB, and have 34 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 67.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,582 innings, ranking them 22nd in baseball.

Kluber (115-76 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.18 and he has faced 6,610 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,460 base hits (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 362 walks. His ERA is 3.39 (612 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.121. Kluber has thrown 1,626 innings and has earned 1,716 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Padres hold a team slugging % of .379 and they are earning 3.84 runs per contest (26th in the league). They have put up 77 two-baggers, while getting a free base 186 times and notching 173 runs. San Diego has accumulated 47 long balls this season as well as 163 runs batted in. They have struck out on 400 instances (10th in MLB) and have earned a total of 330 hits. The San Diego Padres are sitting with a team OBP of .315 and a batting average of .225 for the year.

The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 4.41 as a squad so far this season. They are sitting at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 348. The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 186 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 4.01 (178 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (380 strikeouts vs 156 walks). They have yielded 52 long balls and they yield 4.19 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).

San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the game in 21 save opportunities and they have earned 13 saves. They sit at 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.9%, and they have sent 138 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 51 times in high leverage situations and on 31 occasions with base runners. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.6% out of their 48 inherited base runners. With 50 save situations, the Padres have recorded 29 holds and also 8 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 34 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .993 (1st in pro baseball). The Padres have 397 assists, 12 errors and have a total of 1,199 putouts so far this season. In their 3,597 innings played, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (3rd in baseball).

So far in his career, Wacha has given up 1,177 hits while earning 1,062 punch outs in 1,198 frames. He has given up a total of 539 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and he has gone up against 5,077 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Wacha (78-51 career record) holds a 4.05 ERA while allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-135)

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