Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/7/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+100) Philadelphia (-120)

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-18) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (20-14) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +100 while the Phillies are coming in at -120. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Taijuan Walker.

The Red Sox have hit 75 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 46 balls out of the park. Boston has a slugging rate of .457 and have been called out on strikes 259 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 5.9 runs per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. They have 191 RBI's and 321 hits for the season, while their average at the plate is .273. They have 200 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .343.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 45 home runs and also 173 runs in total (26th in MLB). Boston has allowed 299 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 161 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.81 for the year (24th in the league), and they have struck out 292 batters. They have walked 102 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.58 as a team on the year.

Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 13 times and also have had 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 19 holds for the year (11th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 81.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 30 save situations. They have 9 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 2 out of their 11 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 21 base runners this season with 42.9% of those runners crossed home plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 107 relievers to the mound this year.

The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 903 putouts so far this season, as well as 298 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .980 which has them ranked 29th in baseball, and they have twisted 28 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 68.0% of balls in play into outs in their 2,709 innings on the field, which has them sitting 21st in MLB.

Houck (12-10 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.21 and he has faced 733 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 143 base hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has 65 free passes. His earned run average is 3.44 (68 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.169. Houck has taken the ball for 178 innings and is sitting with 193 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Philadelphia has recorded 35 HRs on the campaign to go along with 135 RBIs. They have recorded 64 doubles, while taking a walk 87 times as well as racking up 140 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with an on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .265 over the course of the season. The Phillies hold a team SLG% of .429 and they score 4.24 runs per contest (19th in baseball). They have been rung up on 306 occasions (6th in the league) and have tallied 302 base knocks.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.374 in addition to having a FIP of 4.16 as a squad over the course of the season. They come in at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 279. The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 171 runs on the season while having an ERA of 5.10 (162 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (302 strikeouts against 114 walks). They have allowed 35 home runs and they allow 5.38 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 11 save chances and they have tallied 8 saves. They are ranked 6th in MLB holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have sent 114 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 29 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 52.1% of 48 inherited runners. Sitting with 28 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 17 holds in addition to 3 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 16 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (7th in professional baseball). The Phillies have 260 assists, 12 errors and have amassed 859 putouts over the course of the season. In 2,577 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (22nd in the majors).

Walker (56-52 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.98 ERA and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.77 and he has faced 3,900 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 410 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.238 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. During his career, Walker has conceded 846 base hits and he has 835 punch outs in 926 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-120)

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