Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 5/6/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (19-14) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Red Sox at +125 while the Phillies are coming in at -145. The over/under comes in at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Corey Kluber and Bailey Falter.

The Red Sox have tallied 72 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 44 balls out of the stadium. Boston is slugging .458 and have been called out on strikes 244 times, while drawing a walk on 110 occasions. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 3rd in baseball. They have earned 175 runs batted in as well as 297 hits this year, and their average at the plate is at .270. They have earned 184 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .342.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.93 this season (24th in baseball), and they have struck out 269 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 44 home runs and 165 runs (25th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 97 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.71 as a unit over the course of the season. Boston has given up 282 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 155 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 12 times in addition to having 22 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 17 holds for the year (12th in MLB). The Red Sox relievers have compiled a save rate of 80.0% and has come into the game in 27 save situations. They have tallied 8 saves so far this year and have missed out on 2 of 10 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 20 runners this year and 45.0% of them ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 101 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Red Sox have transformed 68.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,547 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 849 putouts on the year, as well as 281 assists and 22 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which ranks 28th in MLB, and they have twisted 27 double plays.

Kluber (114-75 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.16 while facing 6,562 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 1,446 hits (8.1 hits per 9 innings) with 359 walks. His ERA is 3.37 (605 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.117. Kluber has thrown 1,616 innings and is sitting with 1,710 punch outs thus far in his career.

Philadelphia has knocked in 35 long balls this year and 132 runs batted in. They have recorded 63 two-baggers, while taking a walk 85 times as well as putting up 137 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated a team OBP of .323 as well as a team batting average of .266 on the year. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .433 and they score 4.28 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have been rung up on 292 instances (6th in MLB) and have accounted for 294 base knocks.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 166 runs for the season while having an ERA of 5.13 (158 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 35 HR's and they allow 5.39 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.386 with a FIP of 4.21 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.50 (294 strikeouts against 113 bases on balls). They are sitting at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 271.

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 51.1% out of 47 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 27 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 28 save situations, the Phillies have compiled 17 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They rank 6th in MLB with a save rate of 72.7%, and they have sent 111 relievers onto the field over the course of the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers take the mound in 11 save chances and they have come away with 8 saves.

Out of their 2,496 innings on the field, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (23rd in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 16 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (7th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 252 assists, 11 errors and have a total of 832 putouts on the season.

During his pro baseball career, Falter has allowed 155 base knocks while he has tallied 130 strikeouts in 150 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 75 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.233 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.33 and he has gone up against 623 hitters in his career. Falter (8-10 record in his career) holds a 4.50 earned run average while allowing 9.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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