Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+100) New York (-120)

The New York Yankees (37-28) are hosting the Boston Red Sox (32-32) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox at +100 while the Yankees are opening at -120. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Brayan Bello and Clarke Schmidt.

The Red Sox have hit 144 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 69 balls out of the park. Boston is slugging .426 and have struck out 512 times, while being walked on 215 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are recording 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 6th in the league. They have 306 runs batted in in addition to 569 hits this season, and their batting average is .260. They have accounted for 319 runs and have an OBP of .333.

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The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.68 on the year (25th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 544 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 82 home runs and 318 runs (25th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 190 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.41 as a team so far this year. Boston has relinquished 559 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) and 292 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.86 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Red Sox have dispatched 196 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 53 runners over the course of the season and 34.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 17 saves for the season and have not converted 7 of their 24 save chances. The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 70.8% and stepped onto the hill in 57 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 33 holds for the year (14th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 32 times in addition to having 47 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have accounted for 1,686 putouts this season, in addition to 539 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 30th in pro baseball, and have earned 46 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,058 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in MLB.

Bello has thrown 102 innings and has accumulated 101 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 4.38 (50 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.627. He has given up 125 hits (11.0 hits per 9 innings) and has had 42 walks. Bello (5-12 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.58 and he has faced 471 batters in the majors.

New York has recorded 100 home runs so far this season to go along with 290 runs batted in. They have tallied 81 doubles, while walking 202 times and recording 299 runs. The New York Yankees hold an OBP of .303 and a team batting average of .234 on the campaign. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .421 and they average 4.60 runs per outing (10th in the league). They have been rung up on 545 instances (17th in MLB) and have earned a total of 504 hits.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 257 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.65 (236 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 74 long balls and they surrender 3.98 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB). The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.213 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.00 (583 strikeouts vs 217 walks). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 488.

Sitting with 55 save situations, the Yankees have 29 holds and 8 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 26 save opportunities and they have walked away with 18 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 71 times in high leverage situations in addition to 75 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.1% out of their 105 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 10th in the league holding a save rate of 69.2%, and they have sent 199 relief pitchers to the hill on the season.

Out of their 5,235 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (2nd in baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 52 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 571 assists, 37 errors and have earned 1,745 putouts so far this year.

Schmidt (7-12 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.30 ERA while allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.60 and he has gone up against 579 batters in his career. He has given up 63 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.417 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. In his MLB career, Schmidt has allowed 135 base hits and he has 135 K's in 132 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+100)

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