Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+140) Milwaukee (-165)

The Milwaukee Brewers (14-6) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (11-10) at American Family Field on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +140 and the Brewers are sitting at -165. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Brayan Bello and Corbin Burnes.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .419 and have struck out 167 times, while drawing a walk on 74 occasions. They have accrued 108 runs batted in in addition to 176 hits this season, and their batting average is sitting at .247. The Red Sox have recorded 44 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 25 balls out of the stadium. They have notched a total of 116 runs scored and have an OBP of .326. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.5 runs per outing, which puts them at 4th in MLB.

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The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 5.08 for the year (25th in the league), and the staff has struck out 200 batters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 30 home runs and also 111 total runs (26th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 68 opposing players and their FIP is 4.64 as a team on the campaign. Boston has given up 183 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 105 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.94 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35.

The Red Sox have dispatched 67 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have inherited 12 base runners over the course of the season with 41.7% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 6 saves so far this year and have not converted 0 of 6 save opportunities. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 100.0% and has entered the game in 18 save situations. The relievers have 12 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 7 times and also have had 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 558 putouts thus far, in addition to 175 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .980 which ranks 29th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 15 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,674 innings, which has them sitting 25th in baseball.

Bello has pitched in 60 innings and is sitting with 60 K's during his MLB career. Bello (2-9 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.11 while he has faced 286 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.25 (35 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.850. He has given up 83 hits (12.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 28 walks.

The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated an on-base percentage of .333 as well as a batting average of .256 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 194 instances (5th in baseball) and are sitting with 173 base knocks. Milwaukee has 24 home runs for the season to go along with 96 RBIs. The Brewers have a team SLG% of .403 and they earn 4.90 runs per contest (11th in the league). They have hit 26 doubles, while taking a walk 79 times as well as putting up 98 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 65 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.07 (61 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 19 long balls and they relinquish 3.27 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.162 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a unit on the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.60 (151 strikeouts vs 63 free passes). They are sitting at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 145.

Sitting with 19 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 10 holds and also 3 blown saves. Milwaukee has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 9 save chances and they have come away with 6 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 16 times in high leverage situations and also on 14 occasions with base runners. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score rate of 27.8% out of their 18 inherited base runners. They rank 10th in the league with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 60 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season.

In their 1,611 innings on the field, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 73.4% (1st in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 17 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (14th in the majors). The Brewers have racked up 191 assists, 9 errors and have accounted for 537 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Burnes has surrendered 418 base hits while he has totaled 687 strikeouts in 538 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 196 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.050 and a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.67 and he has gone up against 2,172 hitters in his MLB career. Burnes (37-20 career mark) holds a 3.28 earned run average while giving up 7.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-165)

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