Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/22/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-110) Milwaukee (-110)

The Boston Red Sox (10-10) are traveling to American Family Field on Saturday where they will meet the Milwaukee Brewers (14-5). The line on this matchup has Boston at -110 and Milwaukee is at -110. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Garrett Whitlock and Wade Miley.

The Red Sox have compiled 41 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 24 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging rate of .420 and have been called out on strikes 160 times, while being walked on 71 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 5.6 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in the league. They have recorded 103 RBI's in addition to 168 hits for the season, and their average at the plate is .247. They have earned 111 runs and hold an OBP of .327.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.36. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 29 long balls and also 108 runs in total (26th in the league). Boston has allowed 175 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 102 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 5.19 over the course of the season (24th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 187 batters. They have walked 66 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.74 as a unit over the course of the season.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 6 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 11 holds this season (11th in MLB). The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 100.0% and stepped onto the hill in 16 save situations. They have earned 5 saves over the course of the season and have blown 0 of their 5 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 runners for the year and 45.5% of them crossed home plate. The Red Sox have sent 65 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Red Sox have turned 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,593 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in the majors. The Boston Red Sox have amassed 531 putouts for the season, as well as 168 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .979 which puts them in 30th in the majors, and they have turned 15 double plays.

Whitlock (13-7 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.25 while he has faced 653 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 140 base hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 34 free passes. His earned run average is 2.86 (52 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.063. Whitlock has taken the ball for 163 innings and has earned 173 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .404 and they average 5.00 runs per game (10th in MLB). They have tallied 24 two-baggers, while walking 77 times as well as putting up 95 runs. Milwaukee has hit 23 home runs this season to go along with 93 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 181 occasions (8th in baseball) and are sitting with 165 base knocks. The Milwaukee Brewers have a team on-base percentage of .336 as well as a team batting average of .257 this season.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 60 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 2.96 (56 earned runs allowed). They have conceded 18 homers and they concede 3.18 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.159 in addition to having a FIP of 4.22 as a pitching staff this season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.60 (144 strikeouts vs 60 free passes). They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 137.

With 18 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 10 holds and 2 blown saves. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have earned 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 15 times in high leverage situations and also on 13 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 18.8% of 16 inherited base runners. They sit at 9th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 58 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

Out of their 1,530 innings on the field, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 73.4% (1st in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 17 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (15th in the majors). The Brewers have recorded 184 assists, 9 errors and have a total of 510 putouts so far this season.

In his pro baseball career, Miley has allowed 1,677 base hits and he has 1,294 K's in 1,636 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 745 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.371 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.29 and he has gone up against 7,016 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Miley (101-95 mark in his career) holds a 4.10 ERA while allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-110)

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