Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Friday, April 21, 2023

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+155) Milwaukee (-180)

The Milwaukee Brewers (14-5) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (9-10) at American Family Field on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Boston at +155 while Milwaukee is coming in at -180. The betting total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Freddy Peralta.

The Red Sox have tallied 38 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 22 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging percentage of .408 and have struck out 156 times, while being walked on 68 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 5th in MLB. They have earned 92 runs batted in in addition to 154 hits on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .240. They have accounted for 100 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 5.20 this season (25th in the league), and the staff has struck out 177 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 28 home runs in addition to 103 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 64 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.80 as a squad over the course of the season. Boston has surrendered 165 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 97 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.36.

The Red Sox have dispatched 63 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 11 runners so far this year with 45.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 5 saves for the season and have missed out on 0 of their 5 save opportunities. The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 100.0% and has come into the game in 16 save situations. The relievers have a total of 11 holds this season (11th in MLB). Red Sox pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 6 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Boston Red Sox have 504 putouts this year, in addition to 158 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .978 which ranks 30th in MLB, and have 15 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 67.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,512 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 23rd in pro baseball.

Pivetta (40-51 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.52 while he has faced 3,268 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 751 hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 299 walks. His ERA is 5.01 (420 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.391. Pivetta has taken the mound for 755 innings and has earned 800 K's in his career.

The Brewers have a SLG% of .404 and they average 5.00 runs per contest (10th in MLB). They have put up 24 doubles, while getting a free base 77 times and racking up 95 runs. Milwaukee has hit 23 HRs for the year as well as 93 RBIs. They have struck out on 181 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have totaled 165 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accounted for a team OBP of .336 and a batting average of .257 for the season.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.159 in addition to having a FIP of 4.21 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.60 (144 strikeouts vs 60 bases on balls). They sit at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 137. They have surrendered 18 homers and they relinquish 3.18 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Milwaukee pitching staff have given up 60 runs this year while having an ERA of 2.96 (56 earned runs yielded).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 18.8% out of their 16 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 15 times in high leverage situations and also on 13 occasions with runners on. With 18 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 10 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are ranked 9th in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 58 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 8 save opportunities and they have tallied 6 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 17 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (15th in the majors). The Brewers have racked up 184 assists, 9 errors and have earned a total of 510 putouts for the year. In 1,530 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 73.4% (1st in pro baseball).

In his career, Peralta has surrendered 311 hits while accumulating 558 strikeouts in 432 innings. He has conceded 182 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.134 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.12 and he has faced 1,798 batters in his pro baseball career. Peralta (32-18 career mark) is the owner of a 3.79 earned run average while giving up 6.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-180)

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