Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/14/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, July 14, 2023

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-120) Chicago (+100)

The Boston Red Sox (48-43) are on their way to Wrigley Field on Friday where they will take on the Chicago Cubs (42-47). The line on this matchup has Boston at -120 while Chicago is sitting at +100. The over/under is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Brayan Bello and Kyle Hendricks.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 5.0 runs per game, which is 7th in MLB. They have accounted for 451 runs while holding a team OBP of .332. The Red Sox have compiled 206 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 94 balls out of the park. They have accrued 432 runs batted in and 822 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate is .263. Boston has a slugging percentage of .427 and have struck out 743 times, while drawing a walk on 290 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.95 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Red Sox pitchers have given up 117 long balls in addition to 424 runs in total (20th in MLB). Boston has yielded 785 base knocks (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 387 earned runs. The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 4.33 on the season (17th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 768 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 260 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.38 as a squad this season.

Red Sox pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 59 times in addition to having 78 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 38 holds this season (26th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 76.5% and stepped onto the hill in 72 save situations. They have tallied 26 saves on the year and have blown 8 of 34 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 90 base runners on the year and 31.1% of them crossed home plate. The Red Sox have dispatched 274 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 2,415 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 810 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them ranked 29th in the majors, and have earned 76 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 68.5% of balls in play into outs in their 7,245 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 19th in the majors.

Bello has taken the hill for 137 innings and is sitting with 125 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Bello (8-13 career record) holds a FIP of 3.42 while he has faced 604 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.74 (57 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.434. He has surrendered 148 base knocks (9.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 49 walks.

Chicago has accumulated 96 HRs so far this season and 396 runs batted in. They have 133 doubles, while getting a free base 320 times as well as recording 410 runs. The Chicago Cubs have tallied a team OBP of .325 in addition to a batting average of .246 this year. The Cubs have a SLG% of .396 and they earn 4.61 runs per game (11th in baseball). They have been rung up on 816 occasions (8th in MLB) and have earned 742 hits.

The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 384 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.00 (349 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 88 homers and they yield 4.40 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.261 with a FIP of 4.08 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (725 strikeouts vs 280 free passes). They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 711.

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.6% of 114 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 67 times in high leverage situations and on 69 occasions with runners on. With 60 save situations, the Cubs have accumulated 38 holds and also 8 blown saves. They are ranked 17th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.9%, and they have sent 270 relievers onto the field this year. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 21 save opportunities and they have come away with 13 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 80 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Cubs have 804 assists, 47 errors and have accumulated 2,358 putouts on the season. In 7,074 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.0% (9th in MLB).

Hendricks (90-64 career win-loss record) holds a 3.44 ERA while allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.65 and he has gone up against 5,588 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 522 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.146 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Hendricks has given up 1,261 hits while totaling 1,111 punch outs in 1,366 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+100)

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