Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/29/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

The Baltimore Orioles (99-59) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (76-82) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Pivetta and John Means.

The Red Sox have tallied 335 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 181 baseballs out of the park. Boston is slugging .430 and have been called out on strikes 1,314 times, while drawing a walk on 474 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in baseball. They have earned 726 RBI's as well as 1,408 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is .261. They have 761 runs while having a team OBP of .327.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.35. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 205 home runs and also 763 runs in total (21st in MLB). Boston has conceded 1,390 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 707 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.59 on the year (21st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,380 batters. They have walked 486 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.42 as a squad on the year.

Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 116 times in addition to having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 67 holds this year (27th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 72.4% and has entered the game in 126 save situations. They have earned 42 saves so far this season and have blown 16 out of their 58 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 177 base runners on the campaign and 31.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 502 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Boston Red Sox have earned 4,161 putouts for the season, in addition to 1,385 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which ranks 28th in MLB, and have a total of 132 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,483 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in baseball.

Pivetta has taken the ball for 876 innings and has accumulated 957 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.90 (477 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.355. He has conceded 848 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 340 walks. Pivetta (49-59 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 4.44 while he has gone up against 3,768 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Baltimore has knocked in 181 HRs for the year as well as 768 runs batted in. They have hit 303 doubles, while taking a walk 499 times as well as scoring 794 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated an on-base percentage of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .257 on the season. The Orioles have a SLG% of .426 and they average 5.06 runs per game (7th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,325 occasions (18th in the league) and have accounted for 1,374 base knocks.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (1,379 strikeouts vs 463 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,302. They have given up 176 homers and they yield 4.26 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 666 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.98 (622 earned runs yielded).

With 185 save situations, the Orioles have earned 103 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. Baltimore has had relievers step onto the hill in 79 save opportunities and they have recorded 48 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 201 times in high leverage situations in addition to 192 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of 281 inherited base runners. They rank 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.8%, and they have dispatched 541 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

In their 12,678 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (14th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 138 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in professional baseball). The Orioles have 1,401 assists, 66 errors and have earned 4,226 putouts this season.

Means (21-25 career mark) holds a 3.75 ERA and has conceded 7.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.08 and he has gone up against 1,519 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 156 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.070 and a FIP of 4.6. So far in his pro baseball career, Means has allowed 323 base knocks while tallying 314 punch outs in 374 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston

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