Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is where the Baltimore Orioles (98-59) will play the Boston Red Sox (76-81) on Thursday. The men taking the mound are Chris Sale and Dean Kremer.

The Red Sox have hit 335 doubles as a team and have knocked 181 baseballs out of the park. Boston is slugging .430 and have struck out 1,314 times, while taking a walk on 474 occasions. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 9th in the league. They have tallied 726 runs batted in as well as 1,408 hits so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .261. They have accounted for 761 runs scored and hold an OBP of .327.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 4.59 on the campaign (21st in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,380 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 205 home runs in addition to 763 runs (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 486 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.42 as a unit this season. Boston has allowed 1,390 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 707 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 116 times and also have had 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 67 holds for the year (27th in the league). The Red Sox bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 72.4% and stepped onto the hill in 126 save situations. They have accumulated 42 saves this season and have blown 16 out of their 58 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 runners so far this season and 31.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 502 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 4,161 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,385 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .982 which puts them in 28th in MLB, and have a total of 132 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 67.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,483 innings, ranking them 28th in professional baseball.

Sale has pitched in 1,775 innings and has tallied 2,187 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.11 (613 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.048. He has conceded 1,446 base hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) and has 415 walks. Sale (120-79 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.97 while going up against 7,160 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Orioles hold a slugging percentage of .426 and they average 5.06 runs per game (7th in the league). They have tallied 303 doubles, while walking 499 times as well as earning 794 runs. Baltimore has accumulated 181 long balls this year to go along with 768 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,325 instances (18th in baseball) and have recorded 1,374 base knocks. The Baltimore Orioles have compiled a team OBP of .323 and a batting average of .257 so far this year.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 4.04 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,379 strikeouts vs 463 free passes). They are sitting at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,302. They have given up 176 home runs and they surrender 4.26 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 666 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.98 (622 earned runs conceded).

With 185 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 103 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 79 save opportunities and they have walked away with 48 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 201 times in high leverage situations and also on 192 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of 281 inherited base runners. They sit at 18th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.8%, and they have dispatched 541 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

The Baltimore Orioles have turned 138 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in professional baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,401 assists, 66 errors and have 4,226 putouts this year. In their 12,678 innings on the diamond, the Orioles have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (14th in pro baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Kremer has surrendered 370 hits while he has accumulated 305 punch outs in 365 innings pitched. He has conceded 179 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.356 and a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.44 and he has gone up against 1,555 batters so far in his MLB career. Kremer (21-20 career mark) has earned a 4.41 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore

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