Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 10/1/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+164) Baltimore (-198)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the location where the Baltimore Orioles (100-60) will try to defeat the Boston Red Sox (77-83) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at +164 while the Orioles are priced at -198. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Tanner Houck and Kyle Bradish.

Boston has a slugging % of .426 and have struck out 1,347 times, while drawing a walk on 479 occasions. They have accounted for 729 RBI's in addition to 1,418 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .258. The Red Sox have earned 338 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 182 baseballs out of the park. They have 764 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .324. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 10th in baseball.

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The Red Sox have compiled a team ERA of 4.55 for the season (21st in the league), and they have struck out 1,404 batters. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 208 long balls and also 770 total runs (21st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 493 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.40 as a team on the year. Boston has given up 1,407 hits (9.0 per 9 innings) as well as 714 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.85 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34.

Red Sox pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 117 times and also have had 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 67 holds this season (27th in the league). The Red Sox relievers have a save percentage of 72.9% and has come into the game in 127 save situations. They have accumulated 43 saves so far this season and have blown 16 of 59 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 178 base runners this season with 31.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Red Sox have sent 509 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Red Sox have converted 67.6% of balls in play into outs out of 12,717 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 28th in the majors. The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 4,239 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,415 assists and 101 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 28th in professional baseball, and they have turned 137 double plays.

Houck has pitched in 246 frames and has earned 257 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.95 (108 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.240. He has conceded 215 hits (7.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 90 free passes. Houck (14-19 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.59 while he has faced 1,036 batters in the majors.

Baltimore has compiled 183 home runs over the course of the season and 775 runs batted in. They have notched 306 doubles, while taking a walk 508 times as well as racking up 801 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have tallied an on-base percentage of .322 as well as a batting average of .256 for the year. The Orioles hold a slugging % of .423 and they average 5.01 runs per outing (7th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,351 occasions (18th in baseball) and have a total of 1,390 hits.

The Orioles have a team WHIP of 1.241 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a team on the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,406 strikeouts against 466 walks). They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,315. They have given up 177 home runs and they concede 4.20 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 670 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.93 (626 earned runs relinquished).

Baltimore has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 80 save opportunities and they have converted 49 saves. They are ranked 16th in baseball holding a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have sent 550 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 205 times in high leverage situations in addition to 196 occasions with base runners. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of 287 inherited runners. With 190 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 107 holds and 31 blown saves.

Out of their 12,921 innings on the field, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (11th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 139 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .988 (5th in baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,427 assists, 68 errors and have 4,307 putouts on the season.

Bradish (16-14 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.70 ERA and has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.08 and he has gone up against 1,173 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 117 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.196 and a FIP of 3.8. During his MLB career, Bradish has given up 251 base knocks while totaling 274 K's in 284 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (-198)

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