Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, May 28, 2023

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Arizona (-130)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-22) welcome the Boston Red Sox (27-24) at Chase Field on Sunday. The moneyline on this game has Boston at +110 and Arizona is sitting at -130. The over/under comes in at 9. The starting pitchers will be Tanner Houck and Merrill Kelly.

The Red Sox have hit 114 doubles as a unit and have hit 60 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging % of .436 and have been called out on strikes 398 times, while drawing a walk on 164 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.3 runs/g, which is 4th in MLB. They have recorded 259 RBI's and 461 hits on the year, and their batting average is at .264. They have 269 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .334.

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The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.76 on the campaign (25th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 425 batters. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 72 home runs in addition to 257 total runs (26th in baseball). They have walked 156 opposing players and their FIP is 4.70 as a team this year. Boston has yielded 441 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 237 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33.

The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 72.2% and stepped onto the hill in 43 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 34 base runners for the year with 47.1% of them crossed home plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 22 times in addition to having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have dispatched 155 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 25 holds on the year (21st in MLB). They have tallied 13 saves so far this year and have not converted 5 out of their 18 chances to get a save.

The Red Sox have converted 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,032 innings, which has them sitting 18th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with 1,344 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 444 assists and 32 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 24th in pro baseball, and have earned 37 double plays.

Houck has taken the ball for 194 frames and has accounted for 210 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.51 (76 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.156. He has surrendered 156 hits (7.2 hits per 9 innings) with 69 walks. Houck (12-12 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.17 while he has gone up against 799 hitters in the major leagues.

Arizona has 56 long balls for the year to go along with 245 runs batted in. They have 104 two-baggers, while taking a walk 160 times and notching 259 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .263 over the course of the season. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .433 and they are earning 5.08 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have struck out on 394 instances (27th in the league) and have earned a total of 458 hits.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.343 in addition to having a FIP of 4.46 as a pitching staff on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.30 (418 strikeouts against 182 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 16th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 425. They have yielded 60 homers and they allow 4.96 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Arizona pitching staff have yielded 249 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.54 (228 earned runs surrendered).

Arizona bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of 84 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 55 times in high leverage situations and on 56 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 57 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 32 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. They rank 26th in MLB with a save rate of 54.2%, and they have sent 171 relievers onto the field for the year. Arizona has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 24 save chances and they have tallied 13 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 36 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .990 (5th in baseball). The Diamondbacks have accrued 472 assists, 18 errors and have a tally of 1,357 putouts so far this season. In their 4,071 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (8th in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Kelly has allowed 579 base hits and he has 553 punch outs in 630 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 271 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.215 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.96 and he has faced 2,600 opposing batters in his MLB career. Kelly (41-38 career win-loss record) has a 3.87 ERA and has conceded 8.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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