Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+160) Toronto (-190)

The Toronto Blue Jays (25-20) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (29-16) at Rogers Centre on Sunday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +160 and Toronto is coming in at -190. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Dean Kremer and Kevin Gausman.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are earning 5.0 runs per contest, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have notched a total of 226 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .330. The Orioles have tallied 81 doubles as a team and have hit 56 balls out of the park. They have compiled 218 RBI's as well as 379 hits on the year, while their batting average is at .252. Baltimore has a slugging % of .427 and have been called out on strikes 366 times, while taking a walk on 170 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.30. Orioles pitchers have allowed 53 home runs and also 191 total runs (12th in the league). Baltimore has given up 382 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 183 earned runs. The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.09 on the campaign (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 408 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 142 opposing players and their FIP is 4.15 as a unit on the season.

Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 61 times in addition to having 62 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 42 holds over the course of the season (1st in the league). The Orioles relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 60.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 66 save situations. They have 14 saves so far this year and have missed out on 9 out of their 23 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 85 runners on the year and 31.8% of those players crossed home plate. The Orioles have dispatched 160 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated 1,209 putouts thus far, as well as 381 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .988 which has them sitting 7th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 47 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,627 innings, ranking them 18th in professional baseball.

Kremer (14-16 career record) has a FIP of 4.64 and he has gone up against 1,042 opposing batters in the majors. He has surrendered 255 base knocks (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 84 walks. His earned run average is 4.63 (126 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.384. Kremer has taken the hill for 245 innings and has earned 192 strikeouts during his career.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .405 and they are recording 4.58 runs per contest (12th in MLB). They have 86 two-baggers, while walking 153 times as well as putting up 206 runs. Toronto has accumulated 47 HRs so far this season as well as 193 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 360 occasions (24th in MLB) and have recorded 398 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays hold an on-base percentage of .328 as well as a batting average of .256 on the season.

The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a squad on the season. They come in at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 357. The Toronto pitching staff have conceded 193 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.98 (176 earned runs given up). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.40 (416 strikeouts against 148 walks). They have surrendered 60 dingers and they allow 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

With 39 save situations, the Blue Jays have accrued 23 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. Toronto has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 16 save opportunities and they have walked away with 12 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 44 times in high leverage situations and also on 51 occasions with runners on base. Toronto relievers have an inherited score percentage of 24.0% out of their 75 inherited runners. They sit at 2nd in the league with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 150 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 32 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (20th in professional baseball). The Blue Jays have accrued 355 assists, 25 errors and have earned 1,196 putouts for the season. Out of their 3,588 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (11th in pro baseball).

Gausman (78-85 record in his career) has earned a 3.91 earned run average while allowing 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.77 and he has gone up against 5,914 batters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 611 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.269 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.6. During his career, Gausman has given up 1,403 base knocks while he has earned 1,443 K's in 1,407 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-190)

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