Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, July 21, 2023

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Tampa Bay (-135)

The Tampa Bay Rays (60-39) are hosting the Baltimore Orioles (58-37) at Tropicana Field on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at +115 and the Rays are sitting at -135. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kyle Bradish and Zach Eflin.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 5.0 runs per game, which ranks them 8th in the league. They have earned 473 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .324. The Orioles have accounted for 178 two-baggers as a team and have hit 114 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 458 runs batted in as well as 817 base knocks this year, and their team batting average sits at .254. Baltimore is slugging .426 and have struck out 775 times, while taking a walk on 317 occasions.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.22 on the campaign (16th in the league), and they have struck out 865 batters. Orioles pitchers have given up 112 home runs and 426 total runs (16th in baseball). They have walked 293 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.13 as a unit for the year. Baltimore has conceded 824 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 400 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.95 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31.

The Orioles have dispatched 328 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 178 base runners on the campaign with 36.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 31 saves on the year and have blown 19 of 50 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 62.0% and has come into the game in 125 save situations. The relief pitchers have 73 holds on the season (1st in the league). Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 121 times in addition to having 121 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 2,560 putouts this season, as well as 810 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which is 5th in the majors, and have a total of 84 double plays. The Orioles have transformed 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,680 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 23rd in pro baseball.

Bradish (10-11 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 881 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 198 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 70 free passes. His earned run average is 4.09 (95 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.282. Bradish has taken the hill for 209 innings and has racked up 198 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Rays have a team slugging percentage of .451 and they average 5.31 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have notched 175 two-baggers, while taking a walk 316 times and notching 526 runs. Tampa Bay has a total of 146 HRs so far this year to go along with 503 RBIs. They have struck out on 844 instances (14th in the league) and have accounted for 856 base hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a team on-base percentage of .329 and a team batting average of .258 for the year.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.198 and have a FIP of 4.03 as a staff over the course of the season. They have a ranking of 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 746. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 381 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.73 (362 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (875 strikeouts against 300 free passes). They have conceded 105 home runs and they surrender 3.93 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 43 save opportunities and they have recorded 26 saves. They are currently ranked 18th in baseball holding a save rate of 60.5%, and they have dispatched 320 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 76 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.9% of 118 inherited base runners. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Rays have 47 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

Out of their 7,863 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (1st in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 78 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .989 (3rd in baseball). The Rays have 895 assists, 39 errors and have amassed 2,621 putouts this season.

So far in his career, Eflin has surrendered 787 base hits and he has 657 strikeouts in 764 frames. He has surrendered a total of 371 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.258 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.75 and he has gone up against 3,221 hitters thus far in his career. Eflin (46-50 mark in his career) has a 4.37 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-135)

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