Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/24/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, July 24, 2023

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Philadelphia (-145)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (53-46) will play the Baltimore Orioles (61-38) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at +125 and Philadelphia is at -145. The total has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Dean Kremer and Cristopher Sanchez.

The Orioles have accumulated 182 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 114 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore is slugging .420 and have been rung up 814 times, while taking a walk on 324 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 8th in baseball. They have accumulated 467 runs batted in and 832 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average sits at .252. They have accounted for 483 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321.

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The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.20 this year (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 896 hitters. Orioles pitchers have conceded 114 long balls in addition to 437 runs in total (16th in MLB). They have walked 301 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit for the season. Baltimore has surrendered 847 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and also 411 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Orioles relievers have compiled a save rate of 60.4% and has entered the game in 130 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 184 base runners for the season and 37.0% of them ended up scoring. Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 125 times and also have had 127 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 338 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 75 holds this year (1st in baseball). They have compiled 32 saves for the season and have missed out on 21 of their 53 save opportunities.

The Orioles have transformed 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,923 innings, which has them sitting 23rd in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 2,641 putouts for the season, as well as 844 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 4th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 89 double plays.

Kremer has taken the hill for 306 innings and is sitting with 257 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.64 (158 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.365. He has given up 316 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 102 free passes. Kremer (19-19 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.74 and he has faced 1,303 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an on-base percentage of .319 as well as a team batting average of .256 for the year. They have struck out on 899 instances (7th in the league) and are sitting with 864 base hits. Philadelphia has a total of 109 HRs on the campaign to go along with 421 RBIs. The Phillies hold a slugging % of .418 and they score 4.47 runs per game (17th in baseball). They have recorded 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 293 times as well as scoring 438 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.245 with a FIP of 3.91 as a unit this year. They rank 12th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 799. The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 433 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.06 (392 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.20 (886 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They have surrendered 105 long balls and they relinquish 4.49 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB).

Sitting with 78 save situations, the Phillies have recorded 42 holds and also 9 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 36 save opportunities and they have walked away with 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 100 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.5% out of 115 inherited base runners. They are ranked 3rd in baseball with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have sent 319 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year.

In their 7,815 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (17th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 67 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in baseball). The Phillies have recorded 838 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 2,605 putouts on the campaign.

Sanchez (3-5 career record) has earned a 4.50 earned run average while conceding 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 376 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 44 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and having a FIP of 4.2. During his pro baseball career, Sanchez has allowed 85 hits while earning 78 strikeouts in 88 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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