Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/4/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+116) New York (-136)

The New York Yankees (46-38) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (49-33) at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has Baltimore at +116 and New York is coming in at -136. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Clarke Schmidt.

As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 9th in the league. They are sitting with 391 runs and have an OBP of .319. The Orioles have accounted for 145 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 96 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 378 RBI's in addition to 687 hits for the season, and their average at the plate sits at .249. Baltimore is slugging .415 and have been rung up 677 times, while being walked on 271 occasions.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.25 so far this year (17th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 763 hitters. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 99 long balls and also 371 total runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 254 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.12 as a team this year. Baltimore has conceded 720 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 348 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.32.

The Orioles have dispatched 291 relievers to the mound this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 base runners this season and 34.4% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 26 saves on the season and have blown 16 of 42 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 61.9% and stepped onto the hill in 111 save situations. The relief pitchers have 67 holds so far this year (1st in MLB). Orioles pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 108 times in addition to having 110 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have transformed 67.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,636 innings, which has them sitting 26th in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles have 2,212 putouts so far this season, in addition to 690 assists and 33 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 5th in MLB, and they have twisted 74 double plays.

Gibson has thrown 1,600 innings and has accumulated 1,276 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Gibson (97-96 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.26 while he has faced 6,879 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.53 (805 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.384. He has surrendered 1,651 base knocks (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 565 walks.

New York has accumulated 117 long balls this year and 358 runs batted in. They have hit 114 two-baggers, while walking 258 times and earning 372 runs. The New York Yankees have tallied a team OBP of .300 in addition to a team batting average of .231 this year. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .407 and they are scoring 4.43 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have been rung up on 683 occasions (21st in the league) and have tallied 639 hits.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.227 in addition to having a FIP of 4.19 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (730 strikeouts against 272 walks). They come in at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 647. They have given up 91 dingers and they yield 4.09 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 340 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.69 (307 earned runs given up).

With 79 save situations, the Yankees have 44 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 34 save chances and they have earned 24 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 102 times in high leverage situations and also on 100 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.0% out of 143 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball with a save percentage of 70.6%, and they have dispatched 266 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

Out of their 6,741 innings on the field, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (5th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 59 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in professional baseball). The Yankees have racked up 742 assists, 52 errors and are sitting with 2,247 putouts so far this season.

Schmidt (8-12 career record) is the owner of a 4.07 ERA and has given up 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and he has gone up against 669 batters thus far in his career. He has allowed a total of 69 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.402 and a FIP of 4.1. During his pro baseball career, Schmidt has allowed 155 base hits while he has totaled 148 K's in 152 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+116)

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