Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 5/3/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-145) Kansas City (+125)

Kauffman Stadium is the site where the Kansas City Royals (7-22) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (19-9) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Orioles at -145 while the Royals are sitting at +125. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kyle Gibson and Zack Greinke.

Baltimore is slugging .426 and have been called out on strikes 222 times, while being walked on 109 occasions. They have accounted for 142 runs batted in as well as 238 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .256. The Orioles have earned 50 doubles as a squad and have hit 34 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 147 runs and have an on-base percentage of .335. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 5.3 runs/g, which has them sitting at 7th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.96 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30. Orioles pitchers have given up 30 home runs and 122 runs in total (11th in MLB). Baltimore has conceded 234 hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and 117 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.22 on the season (14th in MLB), and they have struck out 263 batters. They have walked 89 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.05 as a team so far this year.

The Orioles have dispatched 104 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 59 base runners over the course of the season and 30.5% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 9 saves for the season and have blown 5 out of their 14 save chances. The Orioles relievers have recorded a save rate of 64.3% and has come into the game in 44 save situations. The relievers have 29 holds this year (1st in the league). Orioles pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 39 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have turned 68.0% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,247 innings on the field, ranking them 21st in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 749 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 233 assists and 13 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which has them sitting 15th in pro baseball, and have earned 29 double plays.

Gibson (93-91 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 4.29 while he has gone up against 6,608 batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,583 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 545 walks. His earned run average is 4.50 (770 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.383. Gibson has taken the mound for 1,538 innings and has accounted for 1,229 punch outs during his career.

The Royals have a team slugging % of .345 and they earn 3.31 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have hit 47 two-baggers, while getting a free base 70 times as well as notching 96 runs. Kansas City has knocked in 20 home runs this year to go along with 88 runs batted in. They have struck out on 267 occasions (11th in MLB) and have tallied 213 base hits. The Kansas City Royals have tallied a team OBP of .279 as well as a team batting average of .220 this season.

The Royals have a WHIP of 1.427 with a FIP of 4.85 as a unit this year. They are currently ranked 25th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 263. The Kansas City pitching staff have conceded 160 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 5.50 (154 earned runs given up). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (247 strikeouts vs 97 walks). They have yielded 41 dingers and they relinquish 5.71 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

With 13 save situations, the Royals have amassed 5 holds and also 3 blown saves. Kansas City has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 8 save opportunities and they have tallied 5 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 20 times in high leverage situations in addition to 16 occasions with base runners. Kansas City bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 50.0% out of their 26 inherited runners. They are ranked 17th in baseball holding a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have sent 94 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 22 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .992 (3rd in professional baseball). The Royals have 232 assists, 8 errors and have notched a total of 758 putouts over the course of the season. In 2,274 innings on the field, the Royals have a efficiency on defense of 67.9% (22nd in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Greinke has surrendered 3,088 hits while accumulating 2,904 punch outs in 3,278 frames. Greinke (223-145 mark in his career) has a 3.45 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 1,256 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.169 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.90 and he has faced 13,419 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas City (+125)

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