Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction, 9/19/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, September 19, 2023

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

The Houston Astros (84-66) are hosting the Baltimore Orioles (93-56) at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday. The starting pitchers are Kyle Gibson and Hunter Brown.

The Orioles have tallied 285 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 175 baseballs out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging rate of .427 and have struck out 1,244 times, while being walked on 469 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are knocking in 5.1 runs/g, which has them at 6th in MLB. They have accumulated 734 RBI's as well as 1,302 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .257. They have earned 758 runs while holding a team OBP of .322.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Orioles pitchers have conceded 170 long balls and also 636 runs (8th in baseball). Baltimore has surrendered 1,247 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 597 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.01 so far this year (10th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,325 batters. They have walked 436 batters and their FIP sits at 4.04 as a squad this year.

The Orioles have sent 510 relievers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 259 runners for the season and 34.7% of them crossed home plate. They have recorded 44 saves for the year and have blown 28 of their 72 chances to save the game. The Orioles relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.1% and has come into the game in 174 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 99 holds on the year (1st in MLB). Orioles relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 179 times in addition to having 183 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have converted 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,051 innings on the field, which has them sitting 16th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 4,017 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,329 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .989 which ranks 4th in professional baseball, and they have turned 131 double plays.

Gibson has taken the mound for 1,679 innings and has totaled 1,346 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Gibson (103-100 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.27 and he has faced 7,207 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.57 (852 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.379. He has conceded 1,730 hits (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 585 free passes.

The Astros have a team SLG% of .436 and they are earning 5.17 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have recorded 255 doubles, while getting a free base 512 times as well as putting up 775 runs. Houston has knocked in 206 home runs on the season as well as 749 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,148 instances (28th in the league) and have 1,339 hits. The Houston Astros have accounted for an on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a batting average of .260 on the year.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.285 in addition to having a FIP of 4.37 as a squad for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.00 (1,338 strikeouts vs 493 bases on balls). They are sitting at 12th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,227. They have relinquished 190 homers and they allow 4.39 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have conceded 652 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.96 (589 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 137 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 79 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Houston has had relievers enter the game in 57 save opportunities and they have earned 40 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 140 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with runners on. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of 146 inherited base runners. They sit at 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 70.2%, and they have dispatched 473 relief pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Houston Astros have gotten 136 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in baseball). The Astros have recorded 1,253 assists, 75 errors and have earned 4,015 putouts on the season. In their 12,045 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (10th in pro baseball).

Thus far in his career, Brown has surrendered 160 base hits and he has 191 strikeouts in 166 frames. Brown (13-11 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.16 ERA and has given up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 77 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.308 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and he has faced 700 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore

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