Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 4/28/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-115) Detroit (-105)

The Baltimore Orioles (16-8) are en route to Comerica Park on Friday where they will take on the Detroit Tigers (9-14). The odds on this game have the Orioles at -115 and the Tigers open at -105. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Grayson Rodriguez and Eduardo Rodriguez.

As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 5.2 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have accounted for 125 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .336. The Orioles have earned 43 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 28 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 121 runs batted in and 200 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is sitting at .253. Baltimore is slugging .419 and have been rung up 198 times, while being walked on 97 occasions.

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The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.19 for the season (16th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 215 batters. Orioles pitchers have conceded 27 home runs and 104 total runs (12th in MLB). They have walked 71 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit on the campaign. Baltimore has surrendered 198 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 100 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.03 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.26.

The Orioles have dispatched 88 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 46 base runners this year and 32.6% of them ended up scoring. They have earned 6 saves for the season and have missed out on 5 of 11 save chances. The Orioles relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 54.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 35 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 24 holds this season (1st in MLB). Orioles pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 32 times as well as having 37 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have transformed 68.9% of balls in play into outs in their 1,932 innings, which ranks them 18th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 644 putouts this year, as well as 204 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which ranks 20th in professional baseball, and have a total of 27 double plays.

Rodriguez (0-0 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.65 and he has faced 87 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 21 base knocks (9.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 10 walks. His ERA is 5.12 (11 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.603. Rodriguez has pitched in 19 innings and has racked up 25 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Tigers have a team slugging percentage of .330 and they earn 3.04 runs per game (30th in the league). They have 35 doubles, while walking 67 times as well as putting up 70 runs. Detroit has recorded 17 home runs on the season to go along with 69 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 223 occasions (15th in baseball) and have a total of 169 base hits. The Detroit Tigers are sitting with an OBP of .279 as well as a batting average of .216 over the course of the season.

The Detroit pitching staff have given up 113 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.72 (108 earned runs allowed). They have allowed 34 homers and they surrender 4.94 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Tigers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.214 in addition to having a FIP of 4.84 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.20 (187 strikeouts vs 69 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 181.

With 23 save situations, the Tigers have recorded 12 holds and 4 blown saves. Detroit has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 9 save opportunities and they have tallied 5 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 33 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with base runners. Detroit relievers hold an inherited score rate of 53.1% out of 32 inherited runners. They sit at 23rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 55.6%, and they have dispatched 73 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season.

The Detroit Tigers have turned 17 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (8th in MLB). The Tigers have recorded 206 assists, 9 errors and have amassed 618 putouts on the season. In 1,854 innings played, the Tigers have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.8% (2nd in professional baseball).

So far in his career, Rodriguez has surrendered 939 hits while he has tallied 989 strikeouts in 978 innings pitched. Rodriguez (70-46 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.09 ERA and has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 445 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.300 and having a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 2.97 and he has gone up against 4,155 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Detroit (-105)

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