Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/23/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-148) Cleveland (+124)

The Baltimore Orioles (95-58) are traveling to Progressive Field on Saturday where they will try to beat the Cleveland Guardians (73-81). The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at -148 and Cleveland is at +124. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be John Means and Cal Quantrill.

Baltimore has a slugging % of .428 and have struck out 1,288 times, while being walked on 479 occasions. They have earned 754 RBI's as well as 1,342 base knocks on the campaign, while their average at the plate sits at .257. The Orioles have accounted for 295 doubles as a squad and have knocked 180 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 778 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 5.1 runs/g, which has them at 6th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. Orioles pitchers have conceded 175 home runs in addition to 655 runs in total (8th in the league). Baltimore has allowed 1,280 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 614 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team ERA of 4.02 for the year (10th in the league), and they have rung up 1,355 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 455 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.07 as a unit so far this season.

The Orioles have sent 530 relievers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 276 base runners on the year and 34.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 46 saves this year and have blown 30 out of their 76 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 181 save situations. The relievers have earned 102 holds on the year (1st in MLB). Orioles pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 189 times and also have had 194 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,360 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 16th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 4,120 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,363 assists and 64 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which puts them in 4th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 136 double plays.

Means (20-25 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.64 while he has faced 1,494 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 322 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 76 free passes. His ERA is 3.80 (155 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.085. Means has taken the mound for 366 innings and has totaled 310 punch outs so far in his MLB career.

The Cleveland Guardians have recorded an OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .250 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,087 occasions (30th in the league) and have a total of 1,314 base hits. Cleveland is sitting with 117 home runs on the year to go along with 592 runs batted in. The Guardians hold a slugging % of .382 and they tally 4.10 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have 279 doubles, while getting a free base 450 times and putting up 631 runs.

The Cleveland pitching staff have conceded 650 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.90 (596 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 165 homers and they concede 4.26 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.289 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.20 as a unit this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.20 (1,246 strikeouts vs 494 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,277.

With 177 save situations, the Guardians have 96 holds and 31 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 76 save opportunities and they have tallied 45 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 183 times in high leverage situations and also on 131 occasions with runners on. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score rate of 23.5% of 183 inherited runners. They rank 21st in the league with a save rate of 59.2%, and they have dispatched 515 bullpen pitchers to the mound this year.

Out of their 12,366 innings on the diamond, the Guardians are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (7th in the majors). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 115 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (12th in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 1,352 assists, 76 errors and have 4,122 putouts so far this year.

In his MLB career, Quantrill has conceded 542 base hits while tallying 420 K's in 561 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 238 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.250 and having a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.63 and he has gone up against 2,363 hitters in his MLB career. Quantrill (34-22 career record) holds a 3.81 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (-148)

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