Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/21/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, September 21, 2023

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

The Cleveland Guardians (72-80) welcome the Baltimore Orioles (95-56) at Progressive Field on Thursday. The starting pitchers will be Grayson Rodriguez and Hunter Gaddis.

The Orioles have tallied 289 two-baggers as a team and have hit 180 balls out of the park. Baltimore has a slugging % of .430 and have been called out on strikes 1,265 times, while being walked on 474 occasions. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are recording 5.1 runs per game, which has them at 6th in the league. They have accounted for 751 runs batted in and 1,329 base knocks for the season, and their batting average is .258. They have tallied 775 runs and have an on-base percentage of .323.

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The Orioles have an ERA of 4.03 on the season (10th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,337 batters. Orioles pitchers have allowed 175 long balls in addition to 648 total runs (8th in baseball). They have walked 444 opposing players and their FIP is 4.07 as a team on the season. Baltimore has allowed 1,267 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 607 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.01 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Orioles have sent 521 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 268 base runners so far this season with 34.3% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 46 saves on the season and have blown 29 out of their 75 chances to get a save. The Orioles bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 61.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 178 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 100 holds for the season (1st in MLB). Orioles pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 186 times in addition to having 188 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Orioles have transformed 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,213 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 4,071 putouts this season, in addition to 1,348 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which has them ranked 4th in baseball, and they have twisted 134 double plays.

Rodriguez has pitched in 111 frames and has earned 117 strikeouts during his career. Rodriguez (6-4 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.13 while facing 471 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.53 (56 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.338. He has allowed 110 base knocks (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 39 walks.

Cleveland is sitting with 117 HRs so far this season and 585 runs batted in. They have recorded 275 doubles, while walking 444 times as well as putting up 624 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for a team OBP of .314 in addition to a batting average of .250 this season. The Guardians have a SLG% of .382 and they are scoring 4.11 runs per outing (27th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,070 occasions (30th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,298 hits.

The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 642 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.91 (590 earned runs relinquished). They have conceded 164 homers and they allow 4.26 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball). The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.287 in addition to having a FIP of 4.20 as a squad this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (1,227 strikeouts vs 486 bases on balls). They are sitting at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,260.

Cleveland relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 23.6% out of their 182 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 182 times in high leverage situations and on 130 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 173 save situations, the Guardians have accrued 94 holds and 30 blown saves. They are currently ranked 20th in the league with a save rate of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 507 relievers to the hill for the season. Cleveland has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 74 save chances and they have tallied 44 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 115 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in MLB). The Guardians have racked up 1,341 assists, 73 errors and have amassed 4,071 putouts for the season. In their 12,213 innings played, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 70.1% (6th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Gaddis has allowed 55 base knocks while accumulating 28 strikeouts in 46 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 36 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.511 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.9. His K/BB ratio is 1.87 and he has gone up against 210 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Gaddis (2-3 career win-loss record) holds a 6.99 earned run average while allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland

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