Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/9/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+145) Boston (-175)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (72-68) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (88-51) on Saturday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at +145 and Boston is at -175. The total has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Jack Flaherty and Chris Sale.

Baltimore is slugging .426 and have been called out on strikes 1,151 times, while being walked on 434 occasions. They have amassed 680 runs batted in in addition to 1,216 hits on the season, while their team batting average is at .257. The Orioles have compiled 268 doubles as a unit and have knocked 161 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 701 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .322. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 5.0 runs per contest, which ranks them 7th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Orioles pitchers have allowed 157 long balls and also 589 total runs (8th in MLB). Baltimore has allowed 1,157 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 558 earned runs. The Orioles are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.02 so far this season (12th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,253 batters. They have walked 415 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.02 as a team for the year.

The Orioles relief pitchers have a save percentage of 61.1% and has come into the game in 169 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 240 base runners for the season and 34.6% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Orioles pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 164 times as well as having 180 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have dispatched 475 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen have racked up 95 holds for the year (1st in the league). They have earned 44 saves this season and have blown 28 of 72 save opportunities.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 3,744 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,222 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which is 2nd in MLB, and they have twisted 125 double plays. The Orioles have turned 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,232 innings on the field, which has them ranked 16th in MLB.

Flaherty has taken the ball for 657 innings and has earned 735 punch outs thus far in his career. Flaherty (42-33 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.01 while he has gone up against 2,737 opposing hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.70 (270 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.197. He has conceded 535 base knocks (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 252 free passes.

Boston has compiled 166 HRs this year and 669 RBIs. They have recorded 304 doubles, while taking a walk 427 times as well as notching 697 runs. The Boston Red Sox have tallied a team OBP of .329 in addition to a batting average of .263 over the course of the season. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .437 and they earn 4.98 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,152 instances (20th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,268 hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.350 with a FIP of 4.44 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have a ranking of 24th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,247. The Boston pitching staff have given up 673 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.53 (623 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (1,215 strikeouts vs 423 free passes). They have allowed 185 homers and they yield 4.90 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of their 155 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 125 times in high leverage situations and also on 101 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 115 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 61 holds and also 13 blown saves. They rank 1st in baseball holding a save percentage of 75.5%, and they have dispatched 442 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 53 save chances and they have earned 40 saves.

Out of their 11,133 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (28th in professional baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 121 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,250 assists, 94 errors and have a tally of 3,711 putouts during this campaign.

In his career, Sale has surrendered 1,435 base knocks while he has totaled 2,165 K's in 1,760 frames. Sale (120-78 record in his career) has earned a 3.10 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 606 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.048 and having a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.28 and he has gone up against 7,100 opposing hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+145)

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