Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/10/2023 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-118) Boston (-102)

The Boston Red Sox (72-69) will compete against the Baltimore Orioles (89-51) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at -118 and Boston opens at -102. The over/under comes in at 10. The expected starting pitchers are Grayson Rodriguez and Brayan Bello.

Baltimore has a slugging % of .427 and have struck out 1,156 times, while taking a walk on 443 occasions. They have recorded 690 RBI's in addition to 1,230 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .258. The Orioles have hit 270 doubles as a team and have knocked 163 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 712 runs and hold an OBP of .324. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 5.1 runs per contest, which has them at 6th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.04 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Orioles pitchers have given up 158 long balls and 591 runs in total (8th in the league). Baltimore has allowed 1,161 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 560 earned runs. The Orioles have compiled a team earned run average of 4.01 on the year (12th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,266 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 416 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a team so far this year.

Orioles relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 164 times as well as having 180 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 96 holds for the season (1st in MLB). The Orioles bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 61.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 170 save situations. They have accumulated 44 saves this year and have blown 28 of 72 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 240 runners this year and 34.6% of them earned a run for their team. The Orioles have dispatched 478 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Orioles have transformed 69.3% of balls in play into outs in their 11,313 innings on the field, ranking them 16th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 3,771 putouts this year, in addition to 1,232 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .990 which has them ranked 2nd in baseball, and they have turned 125 double plays.

Rodriguez (5-3 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.41 and he has faced 418 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 98 base hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 37 free passes. His ERA is 4.91 (54 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.364. Rodriguez has thrown 99 frames and has racked up 104 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .328 as well as a team batting average of .262 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,165 instances (20th in MLB) and have recorded 1,272 base hits. Boston has tallied 167 HRs on the year as well as 671 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .436 and they earn 4.96 runs per game (8th in the league). They have put up 306 doubles, while taking a walk 428 times and putting up 699 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.359 in addition to having a FIP of 4.47 as a team this season. They are sitting at 24th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,261. The Boston pitching staff have conceded 684 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.58 (634 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.80 (1,220 strikeouts against 432 bases on balls). They have surrendered 187 long balls and they relinquish 4.94 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of 159 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 125 times in high leverage situations in addition to 104 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 115 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 61 holds and also 13 blown saves. They are currently ranked 1st in the league with a save percentage of 75.5%, and they have sent 446 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 53 save opportunities and they have converted 40 saves.

In 11,214 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (28th in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 122 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (30th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 1,260 assists, 95 errors and have accounted for 3,738 putouts during this campaign.

Bello (13-16 career record) holds a 3.94 ERA and has given up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and he has faced 845 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 85 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.425 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his pro baseball career, Bello has allowed 212 hits while he has tallied 168 strikeouts in 194 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (-118)

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